TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jakub Stolfa vs Milan Kolar 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711115116118––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:22 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeJakub Stolfa to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Stolfa above · Milan Kolar below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 70 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Jakub Stolfa at 67.3%
70 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Stolfa 7–6 Milan Kolar Milan Kolar has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Stolfa beat Kolar 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:22What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.43 (65%)
Stolfa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-6 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stolfa 1661 vs Kolar 1481
Stolfa
Correct
both rated, 180 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stolfa 80% vs Kolar 60%
Stolfa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stolfa 80% vs Kolar 40%
Stolfa
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stolfa +3 · Kolar +1
Stolfa
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Stolfa) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolar form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStolfa 1.43 / Kolar 2.60
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Stolfa)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13211031
Stolfa1.43
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 88 of 161
Up 2–0, closes it100% 37 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it80% 60 of 75
Kolar2.60
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 75 of 180
Down 0–1, comes back19% 16 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStolfa6wins
AwayKolar4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderStolfa leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStolfa100%6 of 6
AwayKolar100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stolfa6Kolar4n = 10Stolfa took 6 of 10
S2Stolfa4Kolar6n = 10Kolar took 6 of 10
S3Stolfa5Kolar5n = 10split evenly
S4Stolfa5Kolar2n = 7Stolfa took 5 of 7
S5Stolfa2Kolar2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStolfaKolarS − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.238.2+1.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStolfaKolarBasisWin rate · lifetime211 / 403 vs 398 / 79952.4%49.8%211 / 403 vs 398 / 799Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StolfaStolfa 1.43/Kolar 2.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.3%
Stolfa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Stolfa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 26 · 14:00J. Stolfa50119811113M. Kolar3541111722
WAug 16 · 15:30J. Stolfa351112123M. Kolar27710100
WAug 8 · 19:00J. Stolfa4211911113M. Kolar34911771
WJul 26 · 19:30J. Stolfa4211911113M. Kolar35811971
LJul 24 · 18:00J. Stolfa42411111152M. Kolar50119136113
LJul 18 · 10:30J. Stolfa29411771M. Kolar4011711113
LJul 11 · 21:29J. Stolfa4348111192M. Kolar47111195113
WJul 11 · 18:30J. Stolfa48111187113M. Kolar4359111172
LJul 11 · 14:00J. Stolfa228770M. Kolar331111113
J. Stolfa10
WSep 28 · 12:00J. Stolfa1.911112123J. Trefny1.80310100WSep 28 · 11:30M. Kolar2.758111291J. Stolfa1.4011914103WSep 28 · 10:00J. Stolfa1.4091111123L. Stacho2.751135101LSep 27 · 21:30J. Stolfa1.859111112112R. Pavelka1.85117614133WSep 27 · 20:00M. Vedmoch1.739450J. Stolfa2.001111113LSep 27 · 19:00R. Pavelka2.00117511113J. Stolfa1.7361111992WSep 27 · 18:30J. Stolfa1.3311118113L. Krticka3.25771111WSep 26 · 17:30J. Stolfa1.40711116113J. Plachy2.7511681172WSep 26 · 16:00J. Stolfa1.441111113J. Plachy2.633690WSep 26 · 15:30J. Dedek3.4041141162J. Stolfa1.30115115113
M. Kolar10
WSep 28 · 12:30L. Stacho1.8310570M. Kolar1.831211113LSep 28 · 11:30M. Kolar2.758111291J. Stolfa1.4011914103WSep 28 · 10:30J. Trefny1.617960M. Kolar2.201111113WSep 27 · 02:00M. Kolar1.7391211113J. Dedek2.001110691LSep 27 · 01:00M. Kolar2.63711491T. Varnuska1.4411511113LSep 27 · 00:00J. Plachy1.441111113M. Kolar2.638590LSep 26 · 22:30A. Mikuska1.611211113M. Kolar2.2010940LSep 26 · 17:05M. Kolar1.831381191J. Dedek1.83111113113WSep 26 · 16:30M. Kolar1.61911114113J. Dedek2.2011391172LSep 26 · 15:00M. Kolar2.5085111192J. Plachy1.50111148113
Upcoming Matches
J. Stolfa
Sep 28 · 18:00J. Stolfa1.61R. Pavelka2.20—Sep 28 · 19:30J. Stolfa1.53J. Trefny2.38—Sep 28 · 20:00J. Stolfa1.73T. Janata2.00—Sep 29 · 06:00J. Stolfa2.25V. Cermak1.57—Sep 29 · 07:30J. Stolfa1.91J. Trefny1.80—Sep 29 · 08:00J. Stolfa1.53M. Sobisek2.38—Sep 29 · 18:00J. Stolfa1.83M. Vedmoch1.83—Sep 29 · 19:00J. Stolfa1.73T. Janata2.00—Sep 29 · 20:30J. Stolfa1.83K. Brozhik1.83—
M. Kolar
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