TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Mateusz Trela vs Artur Sobel 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811118911911––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:39 and never touched — 77.3% is still 77.3%
Graded at full timeArtur Sobel to win
77.3%
77.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
78 points played in total.
Set by set
811118911911––
H2H Mateusz Trela 0–1 Artur Sobel Mateusz Trela has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:39What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.35 (68%)
Sobel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Trela 1257 vs Sobel 1651
Sobel
Correct
both rated, 394 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Trela 20% vs Sobel 80%
Sobel
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Trela 30% vs Sobel 80%
Sobel
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Trela +1 · Sobel +4
Sobel
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Sobel) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Trela form (20%) is below what odds imply (35%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTrela 2.85 / Sobel 1.35
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Sobel)+9.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13209809
Trela2.85
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 138 of 318
Down 0–1, comes back28% 49 of 175
Down 0–2, comes back9% 8 of 86
Sobel1.35
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 170 of 275
Up 2–0, closes it93% 67 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it78% 118 of 151
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeTrela0wins
AwaySobel1wins
Sobel leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricTrelaSobelT − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match37.041.0−4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTrelaSobelBasisWin rate · lifetime804 / 1640 vs 647 / 118749%54.5%804 / 1640 vs 647 / 1187Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SobelTrela 2.85/Sobel 1.35
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.3%
Sobel · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sobel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 28 · 07:40M. Trela37811991A. Sobel4111811113
M. Trela10
WSep 28 · 06:30M. Trela1.901311113R. Stapor1.8111970LSep 28 · 05:15M. Trela2.1111118862M. Kukawka1.66971111113LSep 28 · 04:10J. Zochniak1.271114108113M. Trela3.20912121162LSep 28 · 03:25M. Trela1.78831291B. Warpas1.93111110113LSep 18 · 00:10J. Lamperski1.571211113M. Trela2.2510880WSep 17 · 23:45M. Trela1.8531112113B. Mrugala1.801121091LSep 17 · 22:55M. Trela1.4751190K. Golaszewski2.381113113WSep 17 · 21:05M. Trela1.5515116123J. Rolak2.2013411101LSep 17 · 20:05K. Golaszewski2.4771111113M. Trela1.44117791LSep 17 · 19:20J. Rolak1.57111177113M. Trela2.2099111152
A. Sobel10
WSep 28 · 06:55J. Zochniak1.859111191A. Sobel1.8011613113WSep 28 · 06:05A. Sobel1.29111011113B. Warpas3.40712771WSep 28 · 04:30A. Sobel1.8511118113M. Kukawka1.85341111WSep 28 · 03:50R. Stapor2.20121111442A. Sobel1.601061311113LSep 22 · 13:55B. Sulkowski1.98128511113A. Sobel1.75101111582WSep 22 · 13:05P. Blocho2.0551050A. Sobel1.661112113WSep 22 · 12:15A. Sobel1.76911512113B. Czerwinski1.90119111062WSep 22 · 10:35A. Sobel1.958101115113D. Solilo1.74111261352LSep 22 · 09:50J. Zochniak1.6811118123A. Sobel2.058911101WSep 22 · 08:35A. Sobel1.58121129113B. Sulkowski2.20106111152
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