TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Oliver Vincenec vs Mariusz Baron · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 28No result
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
No score — the match was not completed
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
H2H Oliver Vincenec 20–20 Mariusz Baron Dead even across their 40 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Vincenec beat Baron 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVincenec 1.98 / Baron 1.73
TT Elite Series · #13209201
Vincenec1.98
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog41% won 189 of 458
Down 0–1, comes back25% 69 of 272
Down 0–2, comes back8% 11 of 135
Baron1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 200 of 368
Up 2–0, closes it80% 96 of 120
Up 1–0, closes it66% 142 of 214
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVincenec6wins
AwayBaron4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderVincenec leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVincenec60%3 of 5
AwayBaron40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vincenec5Baron5n = 10split evenly
S2Vincenec4Baron6n = 10Baron took 6 of 10
S3Vincenec3Baron7n = 10Baron took 7 of 10
S4Vincenec7Baron2n = 9Vincenec took 7 of 9
S5Vincenec4Baron2n = 6Vincenec took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVincenecBaronV − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match44.146.8−2.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVincenecBaronBasisWin rate · lifetime694 / 1515 vs 876 / 183245.8%47.8%694 / 1515 vs 876 / 1832Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
Vincenec 1.98/Baron 1.73
Not settled
What we said
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What happened
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Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 27 · 19:55O. Vincenec55691411153M. Baron561111129132
LSep 26 · 02:35O. Vincenec381091181M. Baron4212118113
LSep 25 · 16:55O. Vincenec4211741192M. Baron50811119113
WSep 23 · 15:55O. Vincenec43821111113M. Baron4511118782
WSep 23 · 09:55O. Vincenec4111116133M. Baron398911111
LSep 21 · 02:45O. Vincenec2248100M. Baron341111123
WSep 20 · 23:05O. Vincenec511011213153M. Baron551281111132
WSep 8 · 14:20O. Vincenec5611101311113M. Baron4941215992
LSep 8 · 06:20O. Vincenec481111115102M. Baron58991117123
WSep 1 · 13:30O. Vincenec45111111123M. Baron408913101
O. Vincenec10
LSep 28 · 00:45P. Adamus1.6511118113O. Vincenec2.05591181WSep 27 · 23:55O. Vincenec2.9011119113J. Pruszkowski1.35941171LSep 27 · 22:20O. Vincenec2.20471171P. Adamus1.5711117113LSep 27 · 21:05O. Vincenec2.0569100W. Urban1.701111123WSep 27 · 19:55O. Vincenec1.90691411153M. Baron1.761111129132LSep 27 · 18:45P. Kurek1.701191314113O. Vincenec2.05711111672LSep 27 · 17:55O. Vincenec2.859450J. Pruszkowski1.361111113LSep 26 · 02:35O. Vincenec1.801091181M. Baron1.9112118113WSep 26 · 01:00O. Vincenec1.83111311123O. Sokolowski1.8313117101LSep 25 · 23:45O. Vincenec1.80691111112R. Szymik1.91111187133
M. Baron10
LSep 28 · 01:10P. Kurek1.551211113M. Baron2.3010380WSep 27 · 23:30P. Adamus1.9061151152M. Baron1.75119119113WSep 27 · 22:40W. Urban1.8571161272M. Baron1.801191110113WSep 27 · 21:55J. Pruszkowski1.401110841M. Baron2.7561211113LSep 27 · 19:55O. Vincenec1.90691411153M. Baron1.761111129132LSep 27 · 19:10P. Adamus1.62119613113M. Baron2.17711111182WSep 27 · 17:30P. Kurek1.66710110M. Baron2.051112133WSep 26 · 02:35O. Vincenec1.801091181M. Baron1.9112118113WSep 26 · 01:25M. Baron2.2511911113L. Oracz1.57711581WSep 26 · 00:10O. Sokolowski1.80611671M. Baron1.9111611113
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