TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Adam Ruszkiewicz vs Rafal Ogon · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Starts 22:25Scheduled
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Head to head
2 – 7
All 9 meetings · 22.2%
Last 9 · 2–7Same side
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Neither player arrives off a win — both lost their last one. The streak signal has nobody to back here.
Compare playersSame-day rematch · 2h before this match
Ruszkiewicz beat Ogon 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuszkiewicz 1.36 / Ogon 2.95
TT Elite Series · #13208751
Ruszkiewicz1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite55% won 51 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it89% 25 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it71% 42 of 59
Ogon2.95
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog27% won 40 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back11% 12 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeRuszkiewicz2wins
AwayOgon7wins
5 of 9 to a deciderOgon leads 7–2, and 5 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuszkiewicz40%2 of 5
AwayOgon100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruszkiewicz5Ogon4n = 9Ruszkiewicz took 5 of 9
S2Ruszkiewicz7Ogon2n = 9Ruszkiewicz took 7 of 9
S3Ruszkiewicz3Ogon6n = 9Ogon took 6 of 9
S4Ruszkiewicz1Ogon7n = 8Ogon took 7 of 8
S5Ruszkiewicz1Ogon4n = 5Ogon took 4 of 5
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away444%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricRuszkiewiczOgonR − OBasisWins27−5in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match44.243.8+0.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuszkiewiczOgonBasisWin rate · lifetime326 / 862 vs 96 / 39437.8%24.4%326 / 862 vs 96 / 394Avg sets wonper match1.71.3per matchAvg pointsper match35.933.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 27 · 20:00A. Ruszkiewicz351212113R. Ogon25101050
WMar 8 · 04:35A. Ruszkiewicz53111288143R. Ogon473101111122
LAug 23 · 01:10A. Ruszkiewicz50129711112R. Ogon481011113133
LAug 22 · 17:30A. Ruszkiewicz471111111132R. Ogon55137911153
LAug 19 · 22:50A. Ruszkiewicz461141110102R. Ogon44411512123
LAug 7 · 21:35A. Ruszkiewicz32711681R. Ogon4111811113
LAug 6 · 05:10A. Ruszkiewicz4210131091R. Ogon46121112113
LJul 8 · 23:10A. Ruszkiewicz511111811102R. Ogon44351113123
LJul 8 · 17:10A. Ruszkiewicz421411981R. Ogon4416611113
A. Ruszkiewicz10
LSep 27 · 21:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.1011410101M. Guzik1.6551112123WSep 27 · 20:00R. Ogon3.00101050A. Ruszkiewicz1.351212113WSep 27 · 19:10R. Adach1.801131013112A. Ruszkiewicz1.908111211133WSep 27 · 18:25A. Ruszkiewicz—131189113M. Jozefiak—114111182WSep 27 · 16:50A. Ruszkiewicz4.10116119113M. Guzik1.2191191162WSep 27 · 16:00S. Krupa2.102119121A. Ruszkiewicz1.6011611143WSep 22 · 08:00A. Ruszkiewicz1.311111143K. Kowalski3.2067120WSep 22 · 06:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.831111113R. Gajda1.863290LSep 22 · 05:35A. Ruszkiewicz3.2069100K. Hetnar1.311111123LSep 22 · 04:25I. Szymanski2.50711119113A. Ruszkiewicz1.4511871152
R. Ogon10
LSep 27 · 21:35R. Ogon—10611131M. Jozefiak—12117153LSep 27 · 20:00R. Ogon3.00101050A. Ruszkiewicz1.351212113LSep 27 · 18:45R. Ogon2.80119100S. Krupa1.371311123LSep 27 · 17:35R. Ogon7.2541151172M. Guzik1.08119119113LSep 27 · 16:25R. Adach1.451111123R. Ogon2.5084100WSep 27 · 15:35R. Ogon—131511113M. Jozefiak—1513961WSep 21 · 02:45R. Ogon4.55111211153S. Szostok1.107144131LSep 21 · 01:10R. Ogon2.854750P. Slosarczyk1.361111113LSep 21 · 00:00R. Ogon3.0581111111O. Sokolowski1.2511135133LSep 20 · 22:25R. Ogon3.0010680M. Sikon1.341211113
Upcoming Matches
A. Ruszkiewicz
Nothing scheduled
R. Ogon
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