TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Rafal Ogon vs Michal Guzik 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1172111618211––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
78 points played in total.
Set by set
1172111618211––
H2H Rafal Ogon 0–1 Michal Guzik Rafal Ogon has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Guzik beat Ogon 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Guzik form (80%) is below what odds imply (90%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOgon 5.65 / Guzik 1.11
TT Elite Series · #13208933
Ogon5.65
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog27% won 40 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back11% 12 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 68
Guzik1.11
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite77% won 163 of 213
Up 2–0, closes it98% 95 of 97
Up 1–0, closes it90% 120 of 133
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeOgon0wins
AwayGuzik1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderGuzik leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricOgonGuzikO − GBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match38.051.0−13.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOgonGuzikBasisWin rate · lifetime96 / 394 vs 177 / 23724.4%74.7%96 / 394 vs 177 / 237Avg sets wonper match1.32.6per matchAvg pointsper match33.539.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GuzikOgon 5.65/Guzik 1.11
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
1–3
Guzik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 27 · 17:35R. Ogon3841151172M. Guzik51119119113
R. Ogon10
LSep 27 · 22:25A. Ruszkiewicz1.361111123R. Ogon2.9588100LSep 27 · 21:35R. Ogon—10611131M. Jozefiak—12117153LSep 27 · 20:00R. Ogon3.00101050A. Ruszkiewicz1.351212113LSep 27 · 18:45R. Ogon2.80119100S. Krupa1.371311123LSep 27 · 17:35R. Ogon7.2541151172M. Guzik1.08119119113LSep 27 · 16:25R. Adach1.451111123R. Ogon2.5084100WSep 27 · 15:35R. Ogon—131511113M. Jozefiak—1513961WSep 21 · 02:45R. Ogon4.55111211153S. Szostok1.107144131LSep 21 · 01:10R. Ogon2.854750P. Slosarczyk1.361111113LSep 21 · 00:00R. Ogon3.0581111111O. Sokolowski1.2511135133
M. Guzik10
WSep 27 · 22:50R. Adach6.00851181M. Guzik1.0811118113WSep 27 · 21:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.1011410101M. Guzik1.6551112123LSep 27 · 20:20S. Krupa2.2011311143M. Guzik1.626116121WSep 27 · 19:35M. Jozefiak—127891M. Guzik—101111113WSep 27 · 17:35R. Ogon7.2541151172M. Guzik1.08119119113LSep 27 · 16:50A. Ruszkiewicz4.10116119113M. Guzik1.2191191162WSep 27 · 15:10R. Adach6.003650M. Guzik1.081111113LSep 25 · 01:45A. Fomin3.408121111113M. Guzik1.30111071392LSep 25 · 01:00K. Kwiatkowski3.501111113M. Guzik1.286990LSep 25 · 00:10M. Guzik1.25981261M. Karpiuk3.75111110113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.