TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Sebastian Krupa vs Rafal Adach · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 27No result
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
No score — the match was not completed
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
H2H Sebastian Krupa 8–2 Rafal Adach Rafal Adach has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Krupa beat Adach 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrupa 1.30 / Adach 3.25
TT Elite Series · #13208659
Krupa1.30
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 116 of 182
Up 2–0, closes it95% 52 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it80% 86 of 107
Adach3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog31% won 80 of 259
Down 0–1, comes back13% 21 of 157
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrupa8wins
AwayAdach2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKrupa leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrupa100%6 of 6
AwayAdach50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krupa6Adach4n = 10Krupa took 6 of 10
S2Krupa7Adach3n = 10Krupa took 7 of 10
S3Krupa7Adach3n = 10Krupa took 7 of 10
S4Krupa2Adach1n = 3Krupa took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrupaAdachK − ABasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.828.2+7.6per matchSweeps52+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrupaAdachBasisWin rate · lifetime306 / 607 vs 235 / 59850.4%39.3%306 / 607 vs 235 / 598Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.834.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
Krupa 1.30/Adach 3.25
Not settled
What we said
—
What happened
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Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 27 · 18:00S. Krupa5511121110113R. Adach45131071232
WSep 13 · 23:35S. Krupa46116711113R. Adach4071111832
WSep 13 · 20:20S. Krupa331111113R. Adach92250
WSep 6 · 15:10S. Krupa341111123R. Adach2376100
WSep 2 · 18:00S. Krupa351113113R. Adach1861110
LAug 10 · 02:45S. Krupa258980R. Adach331111113
LAug 9 · 18:25S. Krupa154470R. Adach331111113
WMay 24 · 23:10S. Krupa331111113R. Adach165470
WMay 24 · 17:10S. Krupa47101313113R. Adach4012111161
WFeb 7 · 05:00S. Krupa351111133R. Adach2559110
S. Krupa10
WSep 27 · 20:20S. Krupa2.2011311143M. Guzik1.626116121WSep 27 · 18:45R. Ogon2.80119100S. Krupa1.371311123WSep 27 · 18:00R. Adach2.83131071232S. Krupa1.3211121110113WSep 27 · 17:10S. Krupa—17911113M. Jozefiak—1511531LSep 27 · 16:00S. Krupa2.102119121A. Ruszkiewicz1.6011611143WSep 23 · 20:20S. Krupa1.7211911113M. Adamus1.83611891LSep 23 · 18:45K. Juszczyk1.8081311113S. Krupa1.911111471WSep 23 · 18:00R. Wiza2.607890S. Krupa1.421111113WSep 23 · 17:10S. Krupa1.65111486113K. Hetnar2.12812111172WSep 23 · 16:00S. Krupa2.8011101111113M. Koczyba1.3913129882
R. Adach10
LSep 27 · 20:45R. Adach—135981M. Jozefiak—111111113LSep 27 · 19:10R. Adach1.801131013112A. Ruszkiewicz1.908111211133LSep 27 · 18:00R. Adach2.83131071232S. Krupa1.3211121110113WSep 27 · 16:25R. Adach1.451111123R. Ogon2.5084100LSep 27 · 15:10R. Adach6.003650M. Guzik1.081111113WSep 26 · 08:45K. Adamus1.3761171182R. Adach2.89115117113LSep 26 · 07:35R. Adach2.2012130T. Lojtek1.601411113WSep 26 · 06:25R. Idaczyk1.557560R. Adach2.251111113LSep 26 · 05:10P. Mecik1.60128119113R. Adach2.15101181172WSep 26 · 03:35M. Adamus2.39113131182R. Adach1.52411159113
Upcoming Matches
S. Krupa
Nothing scheduled
R. Adach
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