TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Rafal Adach vs Michal Guzik 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811511118811––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
811511118811––
H2H Rafal Adach 0–1 Michal Guzik Rafal Adach has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 8h before this match
Guzik beat Adach 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Guzik form (60%) is below what odds imply (93%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdach 6.00 / Guzik 1.08
TT Elite Series · #13208833
Adach6.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog31% won 80 of 259
Down 0–1, comes back13% 21 of 157
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 101
Guzik1.08
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite77% won 163 of 213
Up 2–0, closes it98% 95 of 97
Up 1–0, closes it90% 120 of 133
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeAdach0wins
AwayGuzik1wins
Guzik leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricAdachGuzikA − GBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match14.033.0−19.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdachGuzikBasisWin rate · lifetime235 / 598 vs 176 / 23639.3%74.6%235 / 598 vs 176 / 236Avg sets wonper match1.72.6per matchAvg pointsper match34.239.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GuzikAdach 6.00/Guzik 1.08
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
1–3
Guzik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 27 · 15:10R. Adach143650M. Guzik331111113
R. Adach10
LSep 27 · 22:00S. Krupa1.301111133R. Adach3.2538110LSep 27 · 20:45R. Adach—135981M. Jozefiak—111111113LSep 27 · 19:10R. Adach1.801131013112A. Ruszkiewicz1.908111211133LSep 27 · 18:00R. Adach2.83131071232S. Krupa1.3211121110113WSep 27 · 16:25R. Adach1.451111123R. Ogon2.5084100LSep 27 · 15:10R. Adach6.003650M. Guzik1.081111113WSep 26 · 08:45K. Adamus1.3761171182R. Adach2.89115117113LSep 26 · 07:35R. Adach2.2012130T. Lojtek1.601411113WSep 26 · 06:25R. Idaczyk1.557560R. Adach2.251111113LSep 26 · 05:10P. Mecik1.60128119113R. Adach2.15101181172
M. Guzik10
WSep 27 · 21:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.1011410101M. Guzik1.6551112123LSep 27 · 20:20S. Krupa2.2011311143M. Guzik1.626116121WSep 27 · 19:35M. Jozefiak—127891M. Guzik—101111113WSep 27 · 17:35R. Ogon7.2541151172M. Guzik1.08119119113LSep 27 · 16:50A. Ruszkiewicz4.10116119113M. Guzik1.2191191162WSep 27 · 15:10R. Adach6.003650M. Guzik1.081111113LSep 25 · 01:45A. Fomin3.408121111113M. Guzik1.30111071392LSep 25 · 01:00K. Kwiatkowski3.501111113M. Guzik1.286990LSep 25 · 00:10M. Guzik1.25981261M. Karpiuk3.75111110113WSep 24 · 22:35M. Guzik1.20611611113J. Michalik4.3311611792
Upcoming Matches
R. Adach
Nothing scheduled
M. Guzik
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