TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Oliver Hradil vs Jan Hrabec 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911112115117––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:55 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeJan Hrabec to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOliver Hradil above · Jan Hrabec below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 67 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Jan Hrabec at 54.7%
67 points played in total.
H2H Oliver Hradil 1–1 Jan Hrabec Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Hrabec beat Hradil 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:55What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Hrabec
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hradil 1468 vs Hrabec 1569
Hrabec
Wrong
both rated, 101 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hradil 60% vs Hrabec 80%
Hrabec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hradil 50% vs Hrabec 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hradil +2 · Hrabec -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Hrabec) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hradil form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHradil 2.75 / Hrabec 1.40
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Hrabec)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13205536
Hradil2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 4 of 13
Down 0–1, comes back17% 1 of 6
Down 0–2, comes back20% 1 of 5
Hrabec1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 56 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it85% 34 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeHradil1wins
AwayHrabec1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricHradilHrabecHradil − HrabecBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match42.035.0+7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHradilHrabecBasisWin rate · lifetime9 / 24 vs 137 / 24737.5%55.5%9 / 24 vs 137 / 247Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrabecHradil 2.75/Hrabec 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.3%
Hrabec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hradil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 27 · 09:30O. Hradil4291111113J. Hrabec25112571
LSep 27 · 06:30O. Hradil4211129101J. Hrabec4581411123
O. Hradil10
WSep 27 · 08:00M. Blejchar1.83136791O. Hradil1.83111111113WSep 27 · 07:00L. Velicka1.91123991O. Hradil1.80101111113LSep 27 · 06:30O. Hradil2.0011129101J. Hrabec1.7381411123LSep 13 · 09:29A. Rinka1.5011116113O. Hradil2.50581161WSep 13 · 08:00P. Chovanec1.6111115672O. Hradil2.20991111113WSep 13 · 07:00M. Blejchar1.80611961O. Hradil1.9111811113LSep 13 · 06:30O. Hradil2.3811147872A. Rinka1.533121111113LSep 7 · 16:59O. Hradil1.61111181192L. Velicka2.20138113113WSep 7 · 16:30L. Velicka1.618970O. Hradil2.201111113LSep 7 · 15:30O. Hradil2.25118131172R. Vavrecka1.579111113113
J. Hrabec10
LSep 27 · 08:30L. Velicka1.801111113J. Hrabec1.916840WSep 27 · 07:30J. Hrabec1.401112113M. Blejchar2.7521030WSep 27 · 06:30O. Hradil2.0011129101J. Hrabec1.7381411123WSep 21 · 21:00J. Hrabec1.5311811113T. Milota2.38311671WSep 21 · 20:00J. Hrabec1.4071111113M. Blejchar2.75119581LSep 21 · 19:30R. Adam2.1091311113J. Hrabec1.671111971LSep 21 · 18:00J. Hrabec1.50811111482T. Milota2.501113412113WSep 19 · 08:59J. Hrabec1.40111011113M. Blejchar2.75812591WSep 19 · 08:00J. Hrabec1.4411118113M. Blejchar2.63621141LSep 19 · 07:30P. Osvald2.2513811113J. Hrabec1.581111861
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