TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Sebastian Szostok vs Witold Buczynski 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181210116––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:06 and never touched — 59.4% is still 59.4%
Graded at full timeSebastian Szostok to win
59.4%
59.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
58 points played in total.
Set by set
1181210116––––
H2H Sebastian Szostok 28–16 Witold Buczynski Witold Buczynski has won 16 of their 44 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:06What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.41 (66%)
Szostok
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-16 in 44
Szostok
Correct
gap of 12 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szostok 1448 vs Buczynski 1294
Szostok
Correct
both rated, 154 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szostok 60% vs Buczynski 40%
Szostok
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szostok 50% vs Buczynski 30%
Szostok
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szostok +1 · Buczynski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Szostok) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szostok form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzostok 1.41 / Buczynski 2.70
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Szostok)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13198913
Szostok1.41
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 338 of 525
Up 2–0, closes it94% 129 of 137
Up 1–0, closes it80% 220 of 275
Buczynski2.70
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 187 of 489
Down 0–1, comes back22% 65 of 293
Down 0–2, comes back4% 6 of 158
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzostok7wins
AwayBuczynski3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSzostok leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzostok60%3 of 5
AwayBuczynski20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szostok5Buczynski5n = 10split evenly
S2Szostok4Buczynski6n = 10Buczynski took 6 of 10
S3Szostok6Buczynski4n = 10Szostok took 6 of 10
S4Szostok5Buczynski4n = 9Szostok took 5 of 9
S5Szostok4Buczynski0n = 4Szostok took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzostokBuczynskiS − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.536.9+4.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzostokBuczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime914 / 1579 vs 446 / 112457.9%39.7%914 / 1579 vs 446 / 1124Avg sets wonper match2.31.8per matchAvg pointsper match40.336.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzostokSzostok 1.41/Buczynski 2.70
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.9%
Szostok · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Szostok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 26 · 07:10S. Szostok341112113W. Buczynski2481060
WSep 8 · 13:10S. Szostok481051111113W. Buczynski4312119472
WSep 8 · 05:30S. Szostok4313811113W. Buczynski371111691
LAug 3 · 10:35S. Szostok35118791W. Buczynski4071111113
LAug 3 · 03:00S. Szostok377911101W. Buczynski4211118123
WJul 28 · 12:15S. Szostok49119711113W. Buczynski3851111562
WJul 28 · 08:35S. Szostok51911119113W. Buczynski4011731182
WJun 17 · 13:30S. Szostok51911911113W. Buczynski3611411552
LJun 17 · 07:20S. Szostok31114971W. Buczynski3851111113
WJun 1 · 15:55S. Szostok3631111113W. Buczynski31116861
S. Szostok10
WSep 26 · 06:20J. Wieczerzak1.70981131S. Szostok2.0011115113LSep 23 · 14:40W. Urban2.001111128113S. Szostok1.7335141192LSep 23 · 13:30S. Szostok1.809128121K. Slawinski1.91111011143WSep 23 · 12:15P. Slosarczyk4.50681191S. Szostok1.1711118113WSep 23 · 11:00P. Przewlocki2.6311114842S. Szostok1.44781111113LSep 23 · 09:25P. Polok1.67131112113S. Szostok2.101191491WSep 23 · 08:35P. Slosarczyk4.337940S. Szostok1.201111113LSep 23 · 07:20S. Szostok2.10613591K. Slawinski1.67111111113WSep 23 · 06:05W. Urban2.3871111892S. Szostok1.53115311113LSep 23 · 04:55P. Przewlocki2.3812511113S. Szostok1.531011591
W. Buczynski10
WSep 26 · 05:30D. Morawiec1.651110991W. Buczynski2.1071211113WSep 22 · 16:40W. Buczynski1.861111113O. Vincenec1.839880LSep 22 · 15:05J. Pelka1.5111113113W. Buczynski2.40941191LSep 22 · 14:20J. Pruszkowski1.371111113W. Buczynski2.854890LSep 22 · 13:30W. Buczynski1.83139871K. Jablonski1.86111111113LSep 22 · 12:20W. Buczynski3.8012961192K. Slawinski1.221011119113LSep 22 · 10:40W. Buczynski1.91911731O. Vincenec1.7811611113WSep 22 · 09:05J. Pelka1.6599100W. Buczynski2.051111123LSep 22 · 08:20K. Slawinski1.2271111113W. Buczynski3.60118671LSep 22 · 07:30W. Buczynski1.90691131K. Jablonski1.7611113113
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