TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Krzysztof Kapik vs Michal Malachowski 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118411911511––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
70 points played in total.
Set by set
118411911511––
H2H Krzysztof Kapik 24–21 Michal Malachowski Michal Malachowski has won 21 of their 45 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kapik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Malachowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKapik 1.78 / Malachowski 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kapik)+2.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13193248
Kapik1.78
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 220 of 357
Up 2–0, closes it95% 104 of 109
Up 1–0, closes it78% 148 of 189
Malachowski1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 35 of 90
Down 0–1, comes back26% 14 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back17% 4 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKapik4wins
AwayMalachowski6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMalachowski leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKapik66.7%2 of 3
AwayMalachowski71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kapik3Malachowski7n = 10Malachowski took 7 of 10
S2Kapik7Malachowski3n = 10Kapik took 7 of 10
S3Kapik2Malachowski8n = 10Malachowski took 8 of 10
S4Kapik3Malachowski4n = 7Malachowski took 4 of 7
S5Kapik2Malachowski1n = 3Kapik took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKapikMalachowskiK − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.841.1−2.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKapikMalachowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime1124 / 2107 vs 409 / 78253.4%52.3%1124 / 2107 vs 409 / 782Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.137.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KapikKapik 1.78/Malachowski 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kapik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Malachowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 24 · 11:45K. Kapik35911781M. Malachowski4211911113
WSep 15 · 03:40K. Kapik331111113M. Malachowski216870
LSep 14 · 09:20K. Kapik246990M. Malachowski331111113
WAug 26 · 00:10K. Kapik44111111113M. Malachowski35991341
WAug 24 · 21:00K. Kapik47611811113M. Malachowski4311911662
LAug 9 · 21:25K. Kapik47174114112M. Malachowski581511811133
LAug 9 · 18:05K. Kapik32512871M. Malachowski43111011113
LJul 9 · 20:05K. Kapik27611100M. Malachowski361113123
WJul 9 · 00:45K. Kapik48711811113M. Malachowski4511711792
LJul 8 · 22:30K. Kapik5191316131M. Malachowski55111118153
K. Kapik10
WSep 25 · 10:05K. Kapik1.80139119113G. Poliniewicz1.85111191182WSep 25 · 09:00K. Kapik1.951211123M. Malachowski1.75109100WSep 25 · 06:25K. Wisniewski2.306580K. Kapik1.551111113WSep 25 · 05:35G. Poliniewicz1.831211117102K. Kapik1.83148911123WSep 25 · 04:50K. Kapik1.8311118113D. Kosmal1.87861191LSep 25 · 03:40K. Kapik2.7571151192P. Klos1.40117118113LSep 24 · 14:15K. Kapik1.73912381J. Kwapis1.98111011113WSep 24 · 12:35J. Zochniak3.2046110K. Kapik1.331111133LSep 24 · 11:45M. Malachowski1.8011911113K. Kapik1.90911781LSep 24 · 10:55K. Kapik2.00812100G. Poliniewicz1.701114123
M. Malachowski10
LSep 25 · 09:00K. Kapik1.951211123M. Malachowski1.75109100WSep 25 · 07:15D. Kosmal2.259148141M. Malachowski1.58111211163LSep 25 · 05:15K. Wisniewski2.2161111113M. Malachowski1.52117271LSep 25 · 04:25P. Klos1.521111113M. Malachowski2.356750WSep 25 · 03:00G. Poliniewicz1.75116101162M. Malachowski1.95611126113LSep 24 · 14:35M. Malachowski1.85811591G. Poliniewicz1.8011611113LSep 24 · 13:00M. Malachowski1.85651111122M. Rutkowski1.85111197143WSep 24 · 11:45M. Malachowski1.8011911113K. Kapik1.90911781WSep 24 · 10:05M. Malachowski2.651111811113J. Zochniak1.4313611962LSep 24 · 09:00M. Malachowski2.0081191182J. Kwapis1.70115117113
Upcoming Matches
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M. Malachowski
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