TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Bartosz Fraczek vs Dawid Stapor 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Bartosz Fraczek
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8111012811––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:36 and never touched — 62.2% is still 62.2%
Graded at full timeDawid Stapor to win
62.2%
62.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
60 points played in total.
Set by set
8111012811––––
H2H Bartosz Fraczek 1–2 Dawid Stapor Bartosz Fraczek has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:36What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Stapor
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fraczek 1527 vs Stapor 1652
Stapor
Correct
both rated, 124 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fraczek 40% vs Stapor 80%
Stapor
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fraczek 30% vs Stapor 70%
Stapor
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fraczek -1 · Stapor +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Stapor) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stapor form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFraczek 2.10 / Stapor 1.60
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Stapor)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13193015
Fraczek2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 5 of 11
Down 0–1, comes back29% 2 of 7
Stapor1.60
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite58% won 161 of 276
Up 2–0, closes it99% 78 of 79
Up 1–0, closes it88% 120 of 137
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeFraczek1wins
AwayStapor2wins
Stapor leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fraczek1Stapor2n = 3Stapor took 2 of 3
S2Fraczek0Stapor3n = 3Stapor took 3 of 3
S3Fraczek1Stapor2n = 3Stapor took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away267%
These 3 meetings
MetricFraczekStaporF − SBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match35.037.3−2.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFraczekStaporBasisWin rate · lifetime47 / 96 vs 484 / 90949%53.3%47 / 96 vs 484 / 909Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaporFraczek 2.10/Stapor 1.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.8%
Stapor · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Stapor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 25 · 07:30B. Fraczek2681080D. Stapor341112113
WApr 26 · 21:35B. Fraczek48111411123D. Stapor395168101
LJul 19 · 11:35B. Fraczek31121270D. Stapor391414113
B. Fraczek10
LSep 25 · 05:30B. Fraczek2.1598100P. Gola1.631111123WSep 24 · 12:30M. Galus1.399111161B. Fraczek2.8011135113WSep 24 · 11:30B. Fraczek2.251213113P. Gola1.57101180LSep 24 · 09:30S. Wloszek1.681111113B. Fraczek2.058380LSep 24 · 08:30B. Fraczek2.601241171M. Galus1.4114116113LSep 24 · 07:30M. Lysakowski1.391161113113B. Fraczek2.8091181592LSep 24 · 07:00B. Fraczek1.7011911782J. Masternak2.05911611113WApr 27 · 12:40B. Molka—128129112B. Fraczek—10111011133LApr 27 · 11:30B. Fraczek—5470B. Molka—1111113LApr 27 · 09:30M. Lysakowski—1111113B. Fraczek—8560
D. Stapor10
WSep 25 · 06:00D. Stapor2.1711101113113M. Lysakowski1.5491271522LSep 23 · 13:40D. Stapor2.126730M. Galus1.571111113WSep 23 · 11:30M. Galus1.6511611872D. Stapor2.10511711113WSep 23 · 10:30M. Stepien1.76115119122D. Stapor1.85811911143WSep 23 · 09:00B. Molka2.1011911452D. Stapor1.60111711113WSep 23 · 06:30P. Gola2.05111351152D. Stapor1.69715118113LSep 23 · 05:00S. Radlo2.1011911123D. Stapor1.604119101WSep 22 · 13:10S. Radlo1.65881191D. Stapor2.1011117113LSep 22 · 11:00B. Molka2.251111113D. Stapor1.575980WSep 22 · 10:00D. Stapor1.6051211133S. Wloszek2.2011107111
Upcoming Matches
B. Fraczek
Nothing scheduled
D. Stapor
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