TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Pawel Gola vs Jan Masternak 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Pawel Gola
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
121091111812141012
Jan Masternak
Away
2.40
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:10 and never touched — 55.4% is still 55.4%
Graded at full timePawel Gola to win
55.4%
55.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
109 points played in total.
Set by set
121091111812141012
H2H Pawel Gola 86–73 Jan Masternak Jan Masternak has won 73 of their 159 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 8h before this match
Gola beat Masternak 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:10What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (62%)
Gola
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
86-73 in 159
Gola
Wrong
gap of 13 in 159, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gola 1605 vs Masternak 1545
Gola
Wrong
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gola 80% vs Masternak 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gola 70% vs Masternak 50%
Gola
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gola -1 · Masternak +4
Masternak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Gola) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Masternak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGola 1.50 / Masternak 2.40
Signal prob.62% / 39%
Edge (Gola)-0.0pp
TT Cup · #13189218
Gola1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 146 of 236
Up 2–0, closes it98% 77 of 79
Up 1–0, closes it86% 108 of 126
Masternak2.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 102 of 245
Down 0–1, comes back24% 34 of 141
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGola6wins
AwayMasternak4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderGola leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGola100%4 of 4
AwayMasternak66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gola4Masternak6n = 10Masternak took 6 of 10
S2Gola8Masternak2n = 10Gola took 8 of 10
S3Gola9Masternak1n = 10Gola took 9 of 10
S4Gola2Masternak4n = 6Masternak took 4 of 6
S5Gola1Masternak3n = 4Masternak took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGolaMasternakG − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.234.4+4.8per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGolaMasternakBasisWin rate · lifetime583 / 1192 vs 411 / 94348.9%43.6%583 / 1192 vs 411 / 943Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GolaGola 1.50/Masternak 2.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.5%
Gola · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Masternak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 24 · 06:00P. Gola351311113J. Masternak1811160
WSep 2 · 07:00P. Gola341112113J. Masternak2251070
LSep 1 · 12:30P. Gola50811111552J. Masternak50114717113
WSep 1 · 10:00P. Gola331111113J. Masternak138410
WAug 24 · 07:00P. Gola47115119113J. Masternak3871141152
WAug 23 · 19:35P. Gola3631111113J. Masternak32114891
LAug 21 · 07:30P. Gola28711100J. Masternak361113123
LAug 16 · 17:05P. Gola3961111922J. Masternak50118911113
WAug 14 · 08:30P. Gola4381112123J. Masternak3511410101
LAug 8 · 16:35P. Gola475111110102J. Masternak50116912123
P. Gola10
LSep 24 · 11:30B. Fraczek2.251213113P. Gola1.57101180WSep 24 · 10:30M. Galus2.34521181P. Gola1.5411118113WSep 24 · 09:00M. Lysakowski1.627119101P. Gola2.1511911123WSep 24 · 06:00J. Masternak2.3711160P. Gola1.521311113WSep 24 · 05:00S. Wloszek2.251171091P. Gola1.5761112113WSep 23 · 13:10M. Stepien1.4491171192P. Gola2.60118116113LSep 23 · 12:00P. Gola2.37541171M. Stepien1.5211116113WSep 23 · 10:00B. Molka2.209570P. Gola1.601111113WSep 23 · 08:00S. Radlo2.05413681P. Gola1.66111111113LSep 23 · 07:00M. Galus1.441111113P. Gola2.504750
J. Masternak10
WSep 24 · 12:00J. Masternak3.081211143M. Galus1.33108120WSep 24 · 10:00M. Lysakowski2.2281181182J. Masternak1.59117118113WSep 24 · 08:00S. Wloszek1.5899111192J. Masternak2.25111179113WSep 24 · 07:00B. Fraczek1.7011911782J. Masternak2.05911611113LSep 24 · 06:00J. Masternak2.3711160P. Gola1.521311113LSep 6 · 22:35J. Masternak—1111138102D. Stapor—741511123LSep 6 · 21:05J. Masternak3.309460M. Stepien1.301111113WSep 6 · 19:35J. Masternak2.301111113D. Stapor1.504970LSep 6 · 18:05J. Masternak1.831071551S. Wloszek1.83121113113LSep 6 · 16:35J. Masternak1.95116451B. Molka1.7491111113
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