TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jiri Zuzanek vs Michal Regner 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 24Finished
Jiri Zuzanek
Home
1.82
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911117711511––
Michal Regner
Away
1.88
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:01 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Zuzanek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Zuzanek above · Michal Regner below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 72 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Jiri Zuzanek at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Zuzanek 30–40 Michal Regner Jiri Zuzanek has won 30 of their 70 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Regner beat Zuzanek 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:01What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.82 (51%)
Zuzanek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-40 in 70
Regner
Correct
gap of 10 in 70, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zuzanek 1669 vs Regner 1610
Zuzanek
Wrong
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zuzanek 60% vs Regner 40%
Zuzanek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zuzanek 60% vs Regner 40%
Zuzanek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zuzanek +2 · Regner +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zuzanek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Regner form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZuzanek 1.82 / Regner 1.88
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zuzanek)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13189207
Zuzanek1.82
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite52% won 107 of 206
Up 2–0, closes it86% 54 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it72% 81 of 113
Regner1.88
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog45% won 112 of 247
Down 0–1, comes back24% 29 of 120
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZuzanek6wins
AwayRegner4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZuzanek leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZuzanek100%5 of 5
AwayRegner80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zuzanek5Regner5n = 10split evenly
S2Zuzanek7Regner3n = 10Zuzanek took 7 of 10
S3Zuzanek8Regner2n = 10Zuzanek took 8 of 10
S4Zuzanek4Regner3n = 7Zuzanek took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZuzanekRegnerZ − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.635.2+3.4per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZuzanekRegnerBasisWin rate · lifetime545 / 1083 vs 518 / 106350.3%48.7%545 / 1083 vs 518 / 1063Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZuzanekZuzanek 1.82/Regner 1.88
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zuzanek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Regner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 24 · 10:00J. Zuzanek4261111592M. Regner48117811113
WSep 22 · 12:00J. Zuzanek3961111113M. Regner36119971
WSep 21 · 10:00J. Zuzanek331111113M. Regner218940
LSep 19 · 08:30J. Zuzanek4388111242M. Regner491111610113
WSep 17 · 08:58J. Zuzanek45131011113M. Regner371112861
LSep 17 · 08:30J. Zuzanek36911791M. Regner4111811113
WAug 31 · 11:00J. Zuzanek351113113M. Regner2141160
LAug 13 · 01:30J. Zuzanek4112126111M. Regner48141011133
WJul 20 · 07:30J. Zuzanek331111113M. Regner194870
WJul 15 · 10:00J. Zuzanek3911611113M. Regner32611871
J. Zuzanek10
WSep 24 · 12:00J. Zuzanek1.67111411113V. Vejvoda2.10616871WSep 24 · 11:30M. Klement1.53681191J. Zuzanek2.3811115113LSep 24 · 10:00J. Zuzanek1.8061111592M. Regner1.91117811113LSep 22 · 13:30V. Kolar1.771111113J. Zuzanek1.931190WSep 22 · 12:00M. Regner1.83119971J. Zuzanek1.8361111113WSep 22 · 11:00R. Wagner1.578470J. Zuzanek2.251111113LSep 22 · 10:30J. Zuzanek1.571110941V. Kolar2.2571211113WSep 22 · 09:04S. Kasnik2.5011841192J. Zuzanek1.50411116113LSep 22 · 08:00J. Zuzanek2.00712861R. Wagner1.73111011113WSep 22 · 07:30S. Kasnik2.38791291J. Zuzanek1.53111110113
M. Regner10
WSep 24 · 12:30M. Regner1.8311118113M. Klement1.83761171LSep 24 · 11:00M. Regner2.001011951V. Vejvoda1.7312911113WSep 24 · 10:00J. Zuzanek1.8061111592M. Regner1.91117811113LSep 23 · 03:00M. Klement1.85591111113M. Regner1.8511117862LSep 23 · 01:30M. Regner2.10115481M. Skakal1.6741111113WSep 23 · 24:30V. Vejvoda1.6757120M. Regner2.101111143LSep 22 · 23:30M. Klement1.831011611113M. Regner1.8312611442LSep 22 · 22:30M. Regner1.73614100M. Sychra2.001116123WSep 22 · 13:00M. Regner1.801112113R. Wagner1.8581070LSep 22 · 12:00M. Regner1.83119971J. Zuzanek1.8361111113
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