TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Martin Vorel vs Jan Blazek 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Martin Vorel
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811511––––
Jan Blazek
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:13 and never touched — 64.9% is still 64.9%
Graded at full timeMartin Vorel to win
64.9%
64.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Vorel above · Jan Blazek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 54 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Martin Vorel at 64.9%
54 points played in total.
H2H Martin Vorel 19–11 Jan Blazek Jan Blazek has won 11 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:13What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Vorel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-11 in 30
Vorel
Wrong
gap of 8 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vorel 1386 vs Blazek 1376
Vorel
Wrong
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vorel 60% vs Blazek 40%
Vorel
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vorel 60% vs Blazek 40%
Vorel
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vorel -1 · Blazek -3
Blazek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Vorel)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVorel 1.44 / Blazek 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Vorel)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13186221
Vorel1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 93 of 170
Up 2–0, closes it86% 37 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it74% 69 of 93
Blazek2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 54 of 136
Down 0–1, comes back23% 18 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVorel8wins
AwayBlazek2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVorel leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVorel100%6 of 6
AwayBlazek50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vorel6Blazek4n = 10Vorel took 6 of 10
S2Vorel5Blazek5n = 10split evenly
S3Vorel8Blazek2n = 10Vorel took 8 of 10
S4Vorel3Blazek3n = 6split evenly
S5Vorel3Blazek0n = 3Vorel took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVorelBlazekV − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.434.9+4.5per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVorelBlazekBasisWin rate · lifetime401 / 776 vs 168 / 38751.7%43.4%401 / 776 vs 168 / 387Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.338.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorelVorel 1.44/Blazek 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.9%
Vorel · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Blazek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 10:15M. Vorel341112113J. Blazek2461080
WMay 28 · 14:00M. Vorel47713114123J. Blazek501111711102
LApr 16 · 09:30M. Vorel369611101J. Blazek4311119123
WApr 7 · 12:58M. Vorel5311101110113J. Blazek4991291272
WApr 7 · 09:30M. Vorel43111011113J. Blazek25512531
WFeb 11 · 16:45M. Vorel4511914113J. Blazek349111221
WDec 12 · 11:15M. Vorel341111123J. Blazek2468100
LDec 1 · 13:35M. Vorel226970J. Blazek331111113
WDec 1 · 11:30M. Vorel351311113J. Blazek2411760
WNov 18 · 06:30M. Vorel45411811113J. Blazek4311811942
M. Vorel10
LSep 24 · 10:15M. Vorel1.831241161A. Dvoracek1.8314117113WSep 24 · 09:15M. Vorel1.6191111113M. Obraz2.20115571LSep 22 · 12:34M. Vorel1.57116971L. Krutina2.2581111113WSep 22 · 11:30L. Krutina1.914911101M. Vorel1.8011116123WSep 22 · 11:00M. Vorel1.3011815113P. Moulis3.406111361WSep 22 · 10:00M. Vorel1.6151111113J. Jnr2.20117261LSep 17 · 08:28M. Vorel2.251011117152K. Jirousek1.57124611173LSep 17 · 07:30K. Jirousek1.7313811113M. Vorel2.001111781WSep 17 · 07:00M. Vorel2.0011119113A. Dvoracek1.73661161WSep 17 · 06:00M. Vorel2.50118137113J. Hanacek1.50611111172
J. Blazek10
LSep 24 · 10:45J. Blazek1.73119991M. Obraz2.0051111113LSep 24 · 09:45J. Blazek2.1071111872A. Dvoracek1.67116911113LSep 23 · 13:03M. Melisek1.6711117113J. Blazek2.10891191WSep 23 · 11:30R. Slunecko1.44111281152J. Blazek2.635101113113WSep 23 · 11:00J. Blazek1.801213113D. Sabuka1.91101180WSep 23 · 10:00J. Blazek2.25511117113M. Melisek1.5711791132LSep 17 · 16:39K. Polak1.73111111113J. Blazek2.00981381LSep 17 · 15:30J. Blazek2.506650E. Ondracek1.501111113LSep 17 · 14:30J. Blazek2.20571231M. Melisek1.61111110113WSep 17 · 13:30J. Blazek2.251111113K. Polak1.579960
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