TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Valerii Vlasenko vs Serhii Berezynskyi 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
51112106111311711
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:29 and never touched — 64.9% is still 64.9%
Graded at full timeSerhii Berezynskyi to win
64.9%
64.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingValerii Vlasenko above · Serhii Berezynskyi below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 97 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Serhii Berezynskyi at 64.9%
97 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Vlasenko 17–34 Serhii Berezynskyi Valerii Vlasenko has won 17 of their 51 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:29What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Berezynskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-34 in 51
Berezynskyi
Correct
gap of 17 in 51, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vlasenko 1526 vs Berezynskyi 1605
Berezynskyi
Correct
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vlasenko 20% vs Berezynskyi 40%
Berezynskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vlasenko 30% vs Berezynskyi 50%
Berezynskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vlasenko -1 · Berezynskyi -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Berezynskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Berezynskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVlasenko 2.50 / Berezynskyi 1.50
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Berezynskyi)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13180339
Vlasenko2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 21)
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 123 of 303
Down 0–1, comes back22% 33 of 153
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 83
Berezynskyi1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 17) · back after a break
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite60% won 58 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it88% 29 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it75% 42 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVlasenko4wins
AwayBerezynskyi6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBerezynskyi leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVlasenko50%3 of 6
AwayBerezynskyi75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vlasenko6Berezynskyi4n = 10Vlasenko took 6 of 10
S2Vlasenko7Berezynskyi3n = 10Vlasenko took 7 of 10
S3Vlasenko2Berezynskyi8n = 10Berezynskyi took 8 of 10
S4Vlasenko4Berezynskyi4n = 8split evenly
S5Vlasenko0Berezynskyi3n = 3Berezynskyi took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVlasenkoBerezynskyiV − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.441.1−2.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVlasenkoBerezynskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime408 / 926 vs 171 / 34844.1%49.1%408 / 926 vs 171 / 348Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BerezynskyiVlasenko 2.50/Berezynskyi 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.9%
Berezynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Berezynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 12:05V. Vlasenko4613811592S. Berezynskyi521111811113
LSep 4 · 21:00V. Vlasenko31711671S. Berezynskyi4111811113
LAug 31 · 23:45V. Vlasenko2051050S. Berezynskyi341112113
LAug 27 · 24:15V. Vlasenko47111171082S. Berezynskyi50791112113
LAug 7 · 20:00V. Vlasenko53111298132S. Berezynskyi558101111153
WJul 30 · 24:15V. Vlasenko4112117113S. Berezynskyi311031171
LJul 13 · 21:45V. Vlasenko216780S. Berezynskyi331111113
WJul 11 · 16:35V. Vlasenko4313117123S. Berezynskyi4111911101
WJul 2 · 02:15V. Vlasenko4115114113S. Berezynskyi401391171
WJun 25 · 02:15V. Vlasenko4151114113S. Berezynskyi341151261
V. Vlasenko10
WSep 25 · 02:15A. Shypilov2.201261191V. Vlasenko1.6114119113WSep 25 · 01:15V. Vlasenko2.5011115123S. Berezynskyi1.503711101LSep 25 · 24:15V. Vlasenko2.258813151O. Hura1.57111111173LSep 24 · 22:45V. Vlasenko1.806440O. Mitla1.911111113WSep 24 · 20:45V. Vlasenko2.2511411113M. Smyrnov1.57911881LSep 24 · 02:15A. Shypilov2.201111113V. Vlasenko1.616590WSep 24 · 01:15V. Vlasenko2.25611911113N. Kovalchuk1.5711511692LSep 24 · 24:15V. Vlasenko2.1071111101O. Napirko1.6711713123WSep 23 · 22:45V. Vlasenko2.381114113M. Smyrnov1.5391220LSep 21 · 08:55V. Vlasenko2.2511911282N. Kovalchuk1.57911711113
S. Berezynskyi10
WSep 25 · 03:15S. Berezynskyi1.611118113M. Smyrnov2.2051630LSep 25 · 01:15V. Vlasenko2.5011115123S. Berezynskyi1.503711101LSep 24 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.6312911133S. Berezynskyi1.4410116111LSep 24 · 22:15S. Berezynskyi1.6711139822O. Hura2.106111111113WSep 24 · 21:15O. Mitla2.2531111162S. Berezynskyi1.57118116113WSep 24 · 03:15N. Kovalchuk1.6111128992S. Berezynskyi2.209101111113WSep 24 · 01:45S. Berezynskyi1.73511119113O. Napirko2.0011971182WSep 23 · 23:45M. Smyrnov2.001181351S. Berezynskyi1.7361115113WSep 23 · 21:45A. Shypilov2.6391241152S. Berezynskyi1.441110118113LSep 17 · 03:15S. Berezynskyi2.251110114132N. Kovalchuk1.57412811153
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