TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13152439
Played Sep 18Finished
Pawel Gola
Home
2.05
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1161311811118––
Michal Lysakowski
Away
1.66
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
79 points played in total.
Set by set
1161311811118––
H2H Pawel Gola 91–80 Michal Lysakowski Michal Lysakowski has won 80 of their 171 meetings.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Lysakowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lysakowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGola 2.05 / Lysakowski 1.66
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Lysakowski)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13152439
Gola2.05
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 70 of 195
Down 0–1, comes back13% 14 of 109
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 76
Lysakowski1.66
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 182 of 324
Up 2–0, closes it93% 117 of 126
Up 1–0, closes it76% 156 of 206
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGola4wins
AwayLysakowski6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLysakowski leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGola100%3 of 3
AwayLysakowski85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gola3Lysakowski7n = 10Lysakowski took 7 of 10
S2Gola4Lysakowski6n = 10Lysakowski took 6 of 10
S3Gola7Lysakowski3n = 10Gola took 7 of 10
S4Gola4Lysakowski3n = 7Gola took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGolaLysakowskiG − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.940.3−0.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGolaLysakowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime581 / 1188 vs 655 / 132248.9%49.6%581 / 1188 vs 655 / 1322Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LysakowskiGola 2.05/Lysakowski 1.66
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.5%
Lysakowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Gola won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 18:35P. Gola4010811111M. Lysakowski4512119133
LSep 12 · 10:05P. Gola4619114121M. Lysakowski5121511143
WSep 11 · 12:30P. Gola4481114113M. Lysakowski371161281
LSep 11 · 06:30P. Gola3079140M. Lysakowski381111163
WSep 9 · 11:00P. Gola4511913123M. Lysakowski4081111101
WSep 4 · 12:00P. Gola331111113M. Lysakowski209470
LSep 1 · 05:30P. Gola4798111272M. Lysakowski511111810113
LAug 31 · 05:00P. Gola2914870M. Lysakowski381611113
LAug 28 · 06:00P. Gola4361211952M. Lysakowski491110611113
WAug 26 · 06:00P. Gola4211611143M. Lysakowski347114121
P. Gola10
WSep 18 · 06:30P. Gola3.3511117133D. Skvarskyi1.289311111LSep 18 · 05:00P. Gola2.408670M. Galus1.501111113LSep 16 · 13:10P. Gola2.14661191D. Stapor1.6411117113WSep 16 · 11:30P. Gola1.7591112113S. Radlo1.951161081WSep 16 · 09:30B. Molka1.9014580P. Gola1.761611113LSep 16 · 08:30P. Gola1.5711911912M. Burkacki2.20611511113LSep 16 · 07:30M. Ovcharenko1.2711912113P. Gola3.095111031WSep 16 · 07:00P. Gola2.05111137133D. Stapor1.68851111112LSep 14 · 12:30M. Stepien—1115613113P. Gola—917111182LSep 14 · 12:00P. Gola1.469990S. Wloszek2.501111113
M. Lysakowski10
WSep 18 · 07:00M. Lysakowski1.661111153M. Galus2.0567130WSep 18 · 06:00M. Stepien1.8512111110102M. Lysakowski1.85147912123WSep 17 · 12:40S. Radlo1.751310110M. Lysakowski1.981512133LSep 17 · 11:30M. Galus1.95127811133M. Lysakowski1.751011119112WSep 17 · 10:30M. Stepien1.82811841M. Lysakowski1.9011711113LSep 17 · 09:00S. Radlo2.501113113M. Lysakowski1.4791190LSep 17 · 06:00S. Wloszek2.3881113113M. Lysakowski1.491191171LSep 17 · 05:00D. Skvarskyi1.981111113M. Lysakowski1.755680WSep 15 · 13:40M. Lysakowski1.8310121111153S. Radlo1.88121475132WSep 15 · 11:30S. Radlo2.25531181M. Lysakowski1.5711117113
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