TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ruslan Serhyenko vs Vadim Reva 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
101210121113––––
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:11 and never touched: 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeVadim Reva to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Vadim Reva @ 1.61 · Won
How it is goingRuslan Serhyenko above · Vadim Reva below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 68 set 3, 11-13 · our read held Vadim Reva at 60.5%
68 points played in total.
H2H Ruslan Serhyenko 0–3 Vadim Reva Ruslan Serhyenko has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 14:1160.5%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 1.4pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Reva
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Reva
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Serhyenko 1210 vs Reva 1342
Reva
Correct
both rated, 133 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Serhyenko 20% vs Reva 80%
Reva
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Serhyenko 30% vs Reva 90%
Reva
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Serhyenko -1 · Reva +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Reva) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Reva form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSerhyenko 2.20 / Reva 1.615
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Reva)-1.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13261345
Serhyenko2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 60 of 176
Down 0–1, comes back23% 22 of 96
Down 0–2, comes back13% 8 of 61
Reva1.61
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite67% won 66 of 99
Up 2–0, closes it93% 38 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it83% 49 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSerhyenko0wins
AwayReva3wins
Reva leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSerhyenkon = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayReva100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Serhyenko0Reva3n = 3Reva took 3 of 3
S2Serhyenko2Reva1n = 3Serhyenko took 2 of 3
S3Serhyenko0Reva3n = 3Reva took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricSerhyenkoRevaS − RBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match30.340.0−9.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSerhyenkoRevaBasisWin rate · lifetime254 / 575 vs 217 / 39144.2%55.5%254 / 575 vs 217 / 391Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
RevaSerhyenko 2.20/Reva 1.61
Hit
What we said
60.5%
Reva · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Vadim Reva @ 1.61 · Won
What happened
0–3
Reva won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LOct 5 · 19:05R. Serhyenko229760V. Reva331111113
LOct 1 · 19:05R. Serhyenko34911951V. Reva4111811113
LSep 22 · 14:35R. Serhyenko355121261V. Reva46111014113
R. Serhyenko10
LOct 8 · 14:05R. Serhyenko1.407990M. Karelov2.751111113WOct 8 · 12:35R. Serhyenko1.361111113V. Lukianevych3.006050LOct 6 · 18:35V. Sydorenko1.501111113R. Serhyenko2.505970LOct 6 · 17:35R. Serhyenko2.6311119942V. Slabyshev1.44941111113LOct 6 · 16:35R. Serhyenko1.61101070A. Azarov2.201212113LOct 6 · 15:05R. Serhyenko2.5011711572Y. Bielokon1.50911911113LOct 6 · 13:05R. Serhyenko3.751113121272D. Boltenkov1.2513111014113LOct 5 · 19:05V. Reva1.801111113R. Serhyenko1.919760WOct 5 · 18:05H. Buianover3.004970R. Serhyenko1.361111113WOct 5 · 16:35V. Lukianevych3.25814851R. Serhyenko1.33111211113
V. Reva10
WOct 8 · 14:35V. Reva1.611111113V. Lukianevych2.203980LOct 8 · 13:35H. Buianover2.201110117113V. Reva1.6151241142WOct 5 · 19:05V. Reva1.801111113R. Serhyenko1.919760WOct 5 · 17:05M. Karelov2.109940V. Reva1.671111113WOct 5 · 16:05V. Reva1.7361111113H. Buianover2.00115661WOct 5 · 15:05V. Lukianevych2.258111011112V. Reva1.57115129133WOct 5 · 13:35V. Reva1.8311118143A. Azarov1.837611121WOct 1 · 19:05V. Reva1.8311811113R. Serhyenko1.83911951WOct 1 · 17:05V. Lukianevych2.2071050V. Reva1.611112113WOct 1 · 16:05V. Reva2.1014911113A. Azarov1.671211681
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.