TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Alan Sys vs Josef Hanacek 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 5Finished
Alan Sys
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6111012911––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:27 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAlan Sys to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAlan Sys above · Josef Hanacek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 59 set 3, 9-11 · our read held Alan Sys at 54.0%
59 points played in total.
H2H Alan Sys 0–1 Josef Hanacek Alan Sys has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:2754.0%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.9pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sys
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sys 1491 vs Hanacek 1439
Sys
Wrong
both rated, 52 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sys 80% vs Hanacek 60%
Sys
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sys 50% vs Hanacek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sys +2 · Hanacek +3
Hanacek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Sys) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sys form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSys 1.727 / Hanacek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sys)-3.9pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13245388
Sys1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Hanacek2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 64 of 132
Down 0–1, comes back30% 21 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSys0wins
AwayHanacek1wins
Hanacek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricSysHanacekS − HBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match25.034.0−9.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSysHanacekBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 7 vs 249 / 48871.4%51%5 / 7 vs 249 / 488Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.139.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SysSys 1.73/Hanacek 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sys · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hanacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LOct 5 · 07:30A. Sys2561090J. Hanacek341112113
A. Sys10
WOct 5 · 06:30A. Sys1.73871111153M. Vorel2.00111179132WOct 5 · 05:30A. Sys2.101111123O. Plyska1.6769100LSep 29 · 08:23A. Sys1.61119991P. Hlina2.2051111113WSep 29 · 07:15P. Hlina1.838111091A. Sys1.8311912113WSep 29 · 06:45A. Sys1.8011115113M. Vorel1.91471151WSep 29 · 05:45A. Sys2.38125115113J. Puk1.53101191172LJul 29 · 08:30M. Vorel1.83611119113A. Sys1.8311741192LJul 29 · 07:30A. Sys1.831161191M. Vorel1.8313117113LJul 29 · 06:30A. Sys1.806890O. Plyska1.911111113LJul 29 · 05:30A. Sys1.8381080J. Krojidlo1.831112113
J. Hanacek10
WOct 5 · 07:00J. Hanacek1.83119612113O. Plyska1.83711111092WOct 5 · 06:00J. Hanacek1.57761311143M. Vorel2.251111117122WOct 3 · 16:40J. Hanacek1.6013116113M. Vorel2.201111181LOct 3 · 16:00J. Hanacek1.5091171152M. Cmil2.50116119113LOct 3 · 14:30M. Melisek2.00715812113J. Hanacek1.731113111092WOct 3 · 14:00M. Vorel2.2511811762J. Hanacek1.57511711113LOct 2 · 16:59J. Hanacek1.7391181192L. Tuma2.00114118113WOct 2 · 16:00L. Tuma1.8081190J. Hanacek1.911113113LOct 2 · 15:00E. Ondracek1.801111113J. Hanacek1.919890LOct 2 · 13:30J. Blazek1.831111113J. Hanacek1.837780
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