TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Radim Urbaniec vs Frantisek Pusch 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113115116––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:05 and never touched — 54.4% is still 54.4%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Pusch to win
54.4%
54.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadim Urbaniec above · Frantisek Pusch below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 47 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Frantisek Pusch at 54.4%
47 points played in total.
H2H Radim Urbaniec 1–2 Frantisek Pusch Radim Urbaniec has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Urbaniec beat Pusch 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:05What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (54%)
Pusch
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urbaniec 1813 vs Pusch 1761
Urbaniec
Correct
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urbaniec 80% vs Pusch 40%
Urbaniec
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urbaniec 70% vs Pusch 50%
Urbaniec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Urbaniec +3 · Pusch +2
Urbaniec
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Pusch) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pusch form (40%) is below what odds imply (59%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrbaniec 2.02 / Pusch 1.70
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Pusch)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13207435
Urbaniec2.02
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 181 of 458
Down 0–1, comes back22% 57 of 258
Down 0–2, comes back7% 10 of 143
Pusch1.70
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 24 of 39
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it82% 18 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeUrbaniec1wins
AwayPusch2wins
2 of 3 to a deciderPusch leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrbaniecn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayPusch66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urbaniec0Pusch3n = 3Pusch took 3 of 3
S2Urbaniec1Pusch2n = 3Pusch took 2 of 3
S3Urbaniec1Pusch2n = 3Pusch took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricUrbaniecPuschU − PBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match38.343.0−4.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbaniecPuschBasisWin rate · lifetime667 / 1307 vs 82 / 14751%55.8%667 / 1307 vs 82 / 147Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PuschUrbaniec 2.02/Pusch 1.70
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.1%
Pusch · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Urbaniec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 27 · 14:30R. Urbaniec541181111133F. Pusch47131157112
LSep 8 · 11:00R. Urbaniec4341191272F. Pusch491161110113
LSep 8 · 08:30R. Urbaniec187560F. Pusch331111113
R. Urbaniec10
WSep 27 · 16:30J. Jr1.53141011792R. Urbaniec2.381212411113WSep 27 · 15:30R. Urbaniec2.75111111123A. Barton1.401368101WSep 27 · 14:30F. Pusch1.67131157112R. Urbaniec2.101181111133LSep 26 · 21:30J. Jr1.5212511113R. Urbaniec2.351011891WSep 26 · 20:30R. Urbaniec1.5311114143T. Franek2.386511121WSep 26 · 19:00R. Urbaniec1.611111117113O. Svacha2.2013871152LSep 26 · 18:00J. Jr1.531114710113R. Urbaniec2.38712111212WSep 25 · 21:30R. Urbaniec2.3511117113J. Jr1.52781181LSep 25 · 20:00J. Jr1.50811119123R. Urbaniec2.50118811102WSep 25 · 19:00M. Klimenta1.531541161R. Urbaniec2.3817117113
F. Pusch10
WSep 27 · 16:00A. Barton1.5741111842F. Pusch2.2511851193WSep 27 · 15:00J. Jr1.5791115962F. Pusch2.251161311113LSep 27 · 14:30F. Pusch1.67131157112R. Urbaniec2.101181111133LSep 20 · 12:58F. Pusch2.0010670J. Kanera1.731211113LSep 20 · 12:30J. Kanera1.83111110113F. Pusch1.83651261LSep 20 · 11:30F. Pusch2.009111561M. Zahradka1.7311717113WSep 20 · 10:30L. Prikasky1.6111550F. Pusch2.201311113LSep 19 · 17:30F. Pusch1.87811111242L. Prikasky1.831181310113WSep 19 · 16:30J. Kanera1.731271171F. Pusch2.0014117113WSep 19 · 15:30F. Pusch2.38116711113L. Prikasky1.5361111952
Upcoming Matches
R. Urbaniec
Sep 27 · 18:30R. Urbaniec1.61O. Svacha2.20—Sep 27 · 19:30R. Urbaniec2.00F. Pusch1.73—Sep 27 · 20:30R. Urbaniec2.38J. Jr1.53—Sep 28 · 10:00R. Urbaniec1.73F. Pusch2.00—Sep 28 · 11:00R. Urbaniec2.63J. Ruzicka1.44—Sep 28 · 12:30R. Urbaniec2.20R. Rose1.61—Sep 28 · 18:00R. Urbaniec2.00O. Cmerda1.73—Sep 28 · 19:30R. Urbaniec1.44M. Skakal2.63—Sep 28 · 20:00R. Urbaniec2.25V. Nohejl1.57—
F. Pusch
Sep 27 · 19:30F. Pusch1.73R. Urbaniec2.00—Sep 27 · 20:00F. Pusch2.00O. Svacha1.73—Sep 28 · 10:00F. Pusch2.00R. Urbaniec1.73—Sep 28 · 11:30F. Pusch2.25R. Rose1.57—Sep 28 · 12:00F. Pusch1.67J. Ruzicka2.10—Sep 28 · 14:30F. Pusch1.67J. Ruzicka2.10—Sep 28 · 15:30F. Pusch2.25O. Kolisnyk1.57—Sep 28 · 16:30F. Pusch1.80V. Nohejl1.91—
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