TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Vaclav Dolezal vs Lubor Sulava 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811118115811118
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:57 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeVaclav Dolezal to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVaclav Dolezal above · Lubor Sulava below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 92 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Vaclav Dolezal at 66.1%
92 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Dolezal 46–12 Lubor Sulava Lubor Sulava has won 12 of their 58 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:57What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Dolezal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
46-12 in 58
Dolezal
Correct
gap of 34 in 58, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dolezal 1367 vs Sulava 1386
Sulava
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dolezal 60% vs Sulava 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dolezal 50% vs Sulava 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dolezal +1 · Sulava +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Dolezal) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulava form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDolezal 1.44 / Sulava 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Dolezal)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13206560
Dolezal1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 133 of 203
Up 2–0, closes it96% 64 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it84% 101 of 121
Sulava2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 61 of 196
Down 0–1, comes back15% 16 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDolezal7wins
AwaySulava3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDolezal leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDolezal100%7 of 7
AwaySulava100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dolezal7Sulava3n = 10Dolezal took 7 of 10
S2Dolezal3Sulava7n = 10Sulava took 7 of 10
S3Dolezal4Sulava6n = 10Sulava took 6 of 10
S4Dolezal6Sulava3n = 9Dolezal took 6 of 9
S5Dolezal3Sulava0n = 3Dolezal took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDolezalSulavaD − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.938.4+1.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDolezalSulavaBasisWin rate · lifetime390 / 776 vs 471 / 95250.3%49.5%390 / 776 vs 471 / 952Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DolezalDolezal 1.44/Sulava 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Dolezal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Dolezal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 08:30V. Dolezal141940L. Sulava331111113
WAug 27 · 22:30V. Dolezal3911611113L. Sulava34611891
WAug 13 · 07:00V. Dolezal56119619113L. Sulava54811111772
WAug 8 · 01:30V. Dolezal491110116113L. Sulava4771291182
LAug 5 · 13:29V. Dolezal313711101L. Sulava4011116123
WAug 5 · 11:30V. Dolezal4211119113L. Sulava32981141
WJun 30 · 09:00V. Dolezal4312128113L. Sulava4010101191
LJun 30 · 06:00V. Dolezal32811761L. Sulava3711411113
WJun 18 · 08:30V. Dolezal44111111113L. Sulava26713241
WJun 4 · 00:30V. Dolezal49118811113L. Sulava4161111672
V. Dolezal10
LSep 28 · 09:28J. Strnad1.50118914113V. Dolezal2.50711111282WSep 28 · 07:30J. Briska1.83311851V. Dolezal1.8311211113LSep 28 · 06:00V. Dolezal2.38531141J. Strnad1.5311116113WSep 27 · 02:59M. Stefek2.75711121182V. Dolezal1.40119146113LSep 27 · 02:00D. Barton1.6111711113V. Dolezal2.20911751WSep 27 · 00:30V. Dolezal1.531011811113M. Stefek2.3812811842LSep 26 · 23:00V. Dolezal2.107370J. Didi1.671111113LSep 26 · 22:00R. Urban1.44111165113V. Dolezal2.6376111162WSep 25 · 09:00V. Dolezal1.361113113J. Pleskot3.0061170LSep 25 · 08:30V. Dolezal2.00991191L. Havel1.7311118113
L. Sulava10
WSep 28 · 09:00L. Sulava2.25115119113J. Briska1.5761111192WSep 28 · 07:00J. Strnad1.831110851L. Sulava1.8331211113LSep 28 · 06:30L. Sulava2.1089111472J. Briska1.671111612113LSep 27 · 09:29L. Sulava1.6791080J. Strnad2.101112113WSep 27 · 08:00J. Strnad1.8375100L. Sulava1.831111123WSep 27 · 07:00V. Hruska Sr2.38813971L. Sulava1.53111111113WSep 27 · 06:30L. Sulava1.401612113P. Berdych2.75141080LSep 25 · 03:05J. Strnad1.85101111113L. Sulava1.85128851WSep 25 · 02:00L. Sulava2.0011119113A. Schneeberger1.73751131LSep 25 · 01:00L. Sulava1.8081211992J. Strnad1.911110611113
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