TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Maksym Khomenko vs Yaroslav Vorsuliak 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11813111412––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:56 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timeYaroslav Vorsuliak to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMaksym Khomenko above · Yaroslav Vorsuliak below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Point 69 set 3, 14-12 — our read held Yaroslav Vorsuliak at 60.7%
69 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Khomenko 29–46 Yaroslav Vorsuliak Maksym Khomenko has won 29 of their 75 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:56What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Vorsuliak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-46 in 75
Vorsuliak
Wrong
gap of 17 in 75, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khomenko 1613 vs Vorsuliak 1625
Vorsuliak
Wrong
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khomenko 60% vs Vorsuliak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khomenko 50% vs Vorsuliak 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Khomenko +1 · Vorsuliak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Vorsuliak) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khomenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhomenko 2.50 / Vorsuliak 1.50
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Vorsuliak)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13203789
Khomenko2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 66 of 160
Down 0–1, comes back29% 30 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back15% 10 of 66
Vorsuliak1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 105 of 170
Up 2–0, closes it90% 46 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it79% 77 of 98
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhomenko1wins
AwayVorsuliak9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVorsuliak leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhomenkon = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayVorsuliak88.9%8 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khomenko1Vorsuliak9n = 10Vorsuliak took 9 of 10
S2Khomenko2Vorsuliak8n = 10Vorsuliak took 8 of 10
S3Khomenko2Vorsuliak8n = 10Vorsuliak took 8 of 10
S4Khomenko3Vorsuliak2n = 5Khomenko took 3 of 5
S5Khomenko1Vorsuliak2n = 3Vorsuliak took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhomenkoVorsuliakK − VBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match33.039.9−6.9per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhomenkoVorsuliakBasisWin rate · lifetime458 / 839 vs 440 / 88254.6%49.9%458 / 839 vs 440 / 882Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorsuliakKhomenko 2.50/Vorsuliak 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.9%
Vorsuliak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Khomenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 27 · 00:00M. Khomenko23101030Y. Vorsuliak351212113
WSep 18 · 06:35M. Khomenko511081111113Y. Vorsuliak4212115682
LSep 17 · 13:35M. Khomenko2476110Y. Vorsuliak351111133
LSep 14 · 08:35M. Khomenko46511811112Y. Vorsuliak52118119133
LSep 7 · 07:05M. Khomenko229670Y. Vorsuliak331111113
LSep 6 · 12:35M. Khomenko31119921Y. Vorsuliak4291111113
LAug 30 · 18:05M. Khomenko409911111Y. Vorsuliak4311118133
LAug 24 · 08:35M. Khomenko4881491162Y. Vorsuliak511112116113
LAug 23 · 16:35M. Khomenko197660Y. Vorsuliak331111113
LAug 22 · 20:30M. Khomenko269890Y. Vorsuliak331111113
M. Khomenko10
WSep 27 · 16:35R. Novak1.80111111972M. Khomenko1.91771311113WSep 27 · 14:35Y. Kolos4.338460M. Khomenko1.201111113LSep 27 · 13:05M. Khomenko2.3864111112D. Shchegelskyi1.5311117943WSep 27 · 02:00Y. Parahailo3.75115661M. Khomenko1.2591111113WSep 27 · 01:00M. Khomenko2.201111113D. Shchegelskyi1.618730LSep 27 · 00:00M. Khomenko2.50101030Y. Vorsuliak1.501212113LSep 26 · 22:30M. Khomenko1.40211171Y. Tebenko2.7511711113LSep 26 · 20:30M. Khomenko1.9121112842R. Novak1.801151011113WSep 20 · 02:00Y. Tebenko2.635780M. Khomenko1.441111113WSep 20 · 01:00M. Khomenko1.83971311113R. Novak1.83111111782
Y. Vorsuliak10
WSep 27 · 13:35R. Novak2.75991181Y. Vorsuliak1.4011119113LSep 27 · 12:35Y. Kolos2.201111107113Y. Vorsuliak1.6185121172LSep 27 · 02:30Y. Tebenko2.00101112113Y. Vorsuliak1.731291091WSep 27 · 01:30R. Novak2.637190Y. Vorsuliak1.441111113WSep 27 · 00:00M. Khomenko2.50101030Y. Vorsuliak1.501212113WSep 26 · 22:00D. Shchegelskyi2.251161081Y. Vorsuliak1.5751112113WSep 26 · 20:00Y. Parahailo2.38111171472Y. Vorsuliak1.53671116113LSep 24 · 03:00V. Slozka1.531111113Y. Vorsuliak2.388680LSep 24 · 01:30Y. Vorsuliak2.001112571V. Krokhmal1.7341411113WSep 23 · 23:30R. Konkulovskyi1.338880Y. Vorsuliak3.251111113
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