TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Martin Sopko vs Jakub Tazler 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
12101012311117117
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:15 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Tazler to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Sopko above · Jakub Tazler below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 94 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Jakub Tazler at 54.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sopko 6–5 Jakub Tazler Jakub Tazler has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:15What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Tazler
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-5 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sopko 1727 vs Tazler 1666
Sopko
Correct
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sopko 100% vs Tazler 60%
Sopko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sopko 80% vs Tazler 60%
Sopko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sopko +6 · Tazler -2
Sopko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sopko) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sopko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSopko 1.83 / Tazler 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sopko)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13195279
Sopko1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Tazler1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSopko5wins
AwayTazler5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSopkon = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayTazler55.6%5 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sopko1Tazler9n = 10Tazler took 9 of 10
S2Sopko9Tazler1n = 10Sopko took 9 of 10
S3Sopko7Tazler3n = 10Sopko took 7 of 10
S4Sopko3Tazler5n = 8Tazler took 5 of 8
S5Sopko1Tazler2n = 3Tazler took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSopkoTazlerS − TBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match38.239.3−1.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSopkoTazlerBasisWin rate · lifetime166 / 348 vs 401 / 73547.7%54.6%166 / 348 vs 401 / 735Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.138.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SopkoSopko 1.83/Tazler 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sopko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sopko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 22 · 23:30M. Sopko31611861J. Tazler4211911113
WJul 18 · 20:30M. Sopko45511115133J. Tazler49119711112
WJul 18 · 16:58M. Sopko3961111113J. Tazler34119681
LJul 18 · 16:30M. Sopko2449110J. Tazler351111133
LMar 20 · 03:58M. Sopko324117101J. Tazler4011611123
WMar 20 · 00:30M. Sopko4071111113J. Tazler33117961
LMar 4 · 01:30M. Sopko4351111882J. Tazler50119811113
LNov 17 · 23:30M. Sopko46811111062J. Tazler51118912113
WNov 4 · 22:02M. Sopko341111123J. Tazler2367100
WNov 4 · 21:30M. Sopko48151111113J. Tazler36178291
M. Sopko10
WSep 26 · 13:30M. Regner1.83811851M. Sopko1.8311911113LSep 26 · 12:30M. Regner1.5311118113M. Sopko2.38881161WSep 26 · 10:30J. Zuzanek3.25811171M. Sopko1.3311911113WSep 26 · 09:30M. Sopko1.5720118113M. Vondrak2.251891151WSep 26 · 08:30J. Louda1.807630M. Sopko1.911111113WSep 26 · 07:30M. Sopko1.731111113M. Vondrak2.007960WSep 26 · 06:30J. Zuzanek2.637680M. Sopko1.441111113WSep 16 · 03:00M. Sopko2.0011911143M. Sobisek1.738119121LSep 16 · 02:30M. Sychra1.61111176113M. Sopko2.2068111192WSep 16 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.7312811692M. Sopko2.001011211113
J. Tazler10
LSep 26 · 13:08J. Tazler3.2561050J. Zuzanek1.331112113WSep 26 · 12:00J. Tazler1.801112113J. Zuzanek1.9151060LSep 26 · 10:00J. Tazler1.80911111082M. Regner1.91118912113LSep 25 · 09:29J. Tazler2.6351171192M. Vondrak1.44119116113WSep 25 · 08:00J. Tazler2.2511911113M. Vondrak1.57911761WSep 25 · 07:30S. Kasnik1.6751161152J. Tazler2.10117119113WSep 25 · 06:00J. Tazler1.731111119113M. Sychra2.0071381192LSep 24 · 03:30J. Tazler1.601371091R. Wagner2.20111112113WSep 24 · 01:30J. Tazler1.83781111113T. Franek1.8311117992WSep 24 · 00:30M. Sychra2.001159101J. Tazler1.7351111123
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