TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Tadeas Zika vs Jakub Pilch 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 24Finished
Tadeas Zika
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113911611––––
Jakub Pilch
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:41 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeJakub Pilch to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTadeas Zika above · Jakub Pilch below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 61 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Jakub Pilch at 56.2%
61 points played in total.
H2H Tadeas Zika 35–48 Jakub Pilch Tadeas Zika has won 35 of their 83 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:41What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pilch
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-48 in 83
Pilch
Correct
gap of 13 in 83, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zika 1777 vs Pilch 1806
Pilch
Correct
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zika 40% vs Pilch 60%
Pilch
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zika 50% vs Pilch 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zika -2 · Pilch +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pilch) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZika 2.00 / Pilch 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pilch)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13183034
Zika2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 307 of 663
Down 0–1, comes back27% 91 of 332
Down 0–2, comes back8% 14 of 172
Pilch1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite54% won 53 of 99
Up 2–0, closes it92% 22 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it69% 37 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZika6wins
AwayPilch4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZika leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZika83.3%5 of 6
AwayPilch75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zika6Pilch4n = 10Zika took 6 of 10
S2Zika2Pilch8n = 10Pilch took 8 of 10
S3Zika8Pilch2n = 10Zika took 8 of 10
S4Zika5Pilch3n = 8Zika took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZikaPilchZ − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.835.9+2.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZikaPilchBasisWin rate · lifetime806 / 1747 vs 225 / 44846.1%50.2%806 / 1747 vs 225 / 448Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PilchZika 2.00/Pilch 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Pilch · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pilch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 23 · 10:30T. Zika43111011113J. Pilch32612861
LSep 21 · 17:30T. Zika4989121192J. Pilch471111104113
LSep 21 · 16:00T. Zika2697100J. Pilch341111123
WSep 18 · 13:00T. Zika3961111113J. Pilch36119881
LSep 18 · 11:00T. Zika27117721J. Pilch4181111113
WJun 17 · 09:28T. Zika361114113J. Pilch2361250
WJun 17 · 06:30T. Zika4111811113J. Pilch29711651
WJun 12 · 12:30T. Zika47118116113J. Pilch4241181182
WMay 1 · 11:30T. Zika4111811113J. Pilch30811291
LApr 30 · 14:30T. Zika397131181J. Pilch4511158113
T. Zika10
WSep 24 · 14:30J. Szotkowski1.67914891T. Zika2.10111211113LSep 24 · 12:58J. Szotkowski1.571111113T. Zika2.259230LSep 24 · 11:00T. Zika1.739450R. Revay2.001111113LSep 24 · 10:00J. Szotkowski1.6711812123T. Zika2.1041110101WSep 23 · 13:30T. Zika1.871111113J. Pilch1.835970WSep 23 · 12:30M. Navedla2.008950T. Zika1.731111113LSep 23 · 11:30T. Zika1.831110791P. Wawrosz1.8361211113WSep 23 · 10:30J. Pilch1.80612861T. Zika1.91111011113LSep 23 · 08:30O. Paril1.711311117113T. Zika2.00117131192LSep 23 · 07:30T. Zika1.834850R. Revay1.831111113
J. Pilch10
WSep 24 · 14:30J. Pilch1.7311311113M. Grundel2.00411591LSep 24 · 13:30J. Pilch2.90138114132R. Revay1.351111411153WSep 24 · 11:30J. Pilch2.7511114113J. Szotkowski1.40991171LSep 24 · 10:30R. Revay1.36711116113J. Pilch3.0011671152LSep 23 · 13:30T. Zika1.871111113J. Pilch1.835970WSep 23 · 12:00P. Wawrosz1.8389100J. Pilch1.831111123WSep 23 · 11:00M. Navedla2.1061191182J. Pilch1.67117119113LSep 23 · 10:30J. Pilch1.80612861T. Zika1.91111011113WSep 21 · 17:30J. Pilch1.801111104113T. Zika1.9189121192WSep 21 · 16:00J. Pilch1.801111123T. Zika1.9197100
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