Vitek Dvorak vs Martin Sychra 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProA17 Hall · Liberec

Played Oct 13Finished

Vitek Dvorak

Home

1.85

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 3

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

7111171191012114

Martin Sychra

Away

1.85

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:26 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Martin Sychra to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingVitek Dvorak above · Martin Sychra below

Set 1 · 7-11

Set 2 · 11-7

Set 3 · 11-9

Set 4 · 10-12

Set 5 · 11-4

Point 93 set 5, 11-4 · our read held Martin Sychra at 54.0%

93 points played in total.

H2H Vitek Dvorak 6–6 Martin Sychra Dead even across their 12 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6Head to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Sychra

Dvorak 1.85/Sychra 1.85

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Sychra · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Dvorak won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 03:26

54.0%Our read54.1%to break even at 1.85

short by 0.1pp

54.1% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.85 they are the same number)

What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.85 (50%)

Sychra

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

6-6 in 12

—

Too close

gap of 0, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Dvorak 1556 vs Sychra 1577

Sychra

Wrong

both rated, 22 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Dvorak 60% vs Sychra 60%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Dvorak 40% vs Sychra 60%

Sychra

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Dvorak +3 · Sychra -1

Dvorak

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Sychra) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsDvorak 1.85 / Sychra 1.85

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Sychra)-0.1pp

Same-day rematch · 1h before this match

Dvorak beat Sychra 3-2.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeDvorak4wins

AwaySychra6wins

6 of 10 to a deciderSychra leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeDvorak60%3 of 5

AwaySychra80%4 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Dvorak5Sychra5n = 10split evenly

S2Dvorak5Sychra5n = 10split evenly

S3Dvorak5Sychra5n = 10split evenly

S4Dvorak1Sychra6n = 7Sychra took 6 of 7

S5Dvorak3Sychra3n = 6split evenly

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricDvorakSychraD − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.042.0−2.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricDvorakSychraBasisWin rate · lifetime103 / 225 vs 799 / 154845.8%51.6%103 / 225 vs 799 / 1548Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.2per match

Czech Liga Pro · #13288042

Dvorak1.85

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 3

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

Sychra1.85

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

Vitek Dvorak vs Martin Sychra 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Vitek Dvorak vs Martin Sychra 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.