Peter Chvojka vs Jiri Vanous 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Peter Chvojka

Home

1.62

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 2

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

61111713111210––

Jiri Vanous

Away

2.20

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

How it is goingPeter Chvojka above · Jiri Vanous below

Set 1 · 6-11

Set 2 · 11-7

Set 3 · 13-11

Set 4 · 12-10

Point 81 set 4, 12-10

81 points played in total.

H2H Peter Chvojka 3–10 Jiri Vanous Peter Chvojka has won 3 of their 13 meetings.

Last 10 · 2–8Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Chvojka

Chvojka 1.61/Vanous 2.20

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

—

no pick shipped on this market

What happened

3–1

Chvojka won

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Chvojka: form 80%, the price implies 62%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsChvojka 1.615 / Vanous 2.20

Same-day rematch · 2h before this match

Chvojka beat Vanous 3-2.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeChvojka2wins

AwayVanous8wins

5 of 10 to a deciderVanous leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeChvojka33.3%1 of 3

AwayVanous85.7%6 of 7

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Chvojka3Vanous7n = 10Vanous took 7 of 10

S2Chvojka4Vanous6n = 10Vanous took 6 of 10

S3Chvojka5Vanous5n = 10split evenly

S4Chvojka1Vanous7n = 8Vanous took 7 of 8

S5Chvojka2Vanous3n = 5Vanous took 3 of 5

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricChvojkaVanousC − VBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.440.5−3.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricChvojkaVanousBasisWin rate · lifetime166 / 354 vs 145 / 33346.9%43.5%166 / 354 vs 145 / 333Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.0per match

TT Cup · #13286860

Chvojka1.61

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite53% won 45 of 85

Up 2–0, closes it97% 29 of 30

Up 1–0, closes it75% 39 of 52

Vanous2.20

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog38% won 45 of 118

Down 0–1, comes back19% 13 of 67

Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 42

Peter Chvojka vs Jiri Vanous 3-1 · TT Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Peter Chvojka vs Jiri Vanous 3-1 · TT Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.