David Szotek vs Michal Chalupa 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProA16 · Havlickuv Brod

Played Oct 12Finished

David Szotek

Home

1.91

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

116811114116––

Michal Chalupa

Away

1.80

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 2

How it is goingDavid Szotek above · Michal Chalupa below

Set 1 · 11-6

Set 2 · 8-11

Set 3 · 11-4

Set 4 · 11-6

Point 68 set 4, 11-6

68 points played in total.

H2H David Szotek 26–23 Michal Chalupa Michal Chalupa has won 23 of their 49 meetings.

Last 10 · 7–3Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Chalupa

Szotek 1.91/Chalupa 1.80

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

—

no pick shipped on this market

What happened

3–1

Szotek won

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Chalupa: form 40%, the price implies 56%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSzotek 1.909 / Chalupa 1.80

Same-day rematch · 1h before this match

Szotek beat Chalupa 3-1.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeSzotek7wins

AwayChalupa3wins

4 of 10 to a deciderSzotek leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSzotek100%6 of 6

AwayChalupa75%3 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Szotek6Chalupa4n = 10Szotek took 6 of 10

S2Szotek5Chalupa5n = 10split evenly

S3Szotek8Chalupa2n = 10Szotek took 8 of 10

S4Szotek5Chalupa3n = 8Szotek took 5 of 8

S5Szotek2Chalupa2n = 4split evenly

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricSzotekChalupaS − CBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.939.2+3.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSzotekChalupaBasisWin rate · lifetime158 / 354 vs 384 / 73344.6%52.4%158 / 354 vs 384 / 733Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.939.4per match

Czech Liga Pro · #13286834

Szotek1.91

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog43% won 57 of 133

Down 0–1, comes back27% 19 of 70

Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 41

Chalupa1.80

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite58% won 126 of 217

Up 2–0, closes it87% 55 of 63

Up 1–0, closes it77% 88 of 115

David Szotek vs Michal Chalupa 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

David Szotek vs Michal Chalupa 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.