Serhii Balabei vs Roman Horokh 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Serhii Balabei

Home

1.91

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 2

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

9111210119115––

Roman Horokh

Away

1.80

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 2

How it is goingSerhii Balabei above · Roman Horokh below

Set 1 · 9-11

Set 2 · 12-10

Set 3 · 11-9

Set 4 · 11-5

Point 78 set 4, 11-5

78 points played in total.

H2H Serhii Balabei 127–224 Roman Horokh Serhii Balabei has won 127 of their 351 meetings.

Last 10 · 3–7Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Horokh

Balabei 1.91/Horokh 1.80

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

—

no pick shipped on this market

What happened

3–1

Balabei won

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Horokh: form 40%, the price implies 56%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsBalabei 1.909 / Horokh 1.80

Same-day rematch · 3h before this match

Horokh beat Balabei 3-1.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeBalabei3wins

AwayHorokh7wins

2 of 10 to a deciderHorokh leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeBalabei66.7%2 of 3

AwayHorokh85.7%6 of 7

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Balabei3Horokh7n = 10Horokh took 7 of 10

S2Balabei4Horokh6n = 10Horokh took 6 of 10

S3Balabei2Horokh8n = 10Horokh took 8 of 10

S4Balabei2Horokh5n = 7Horokh took 5 of 7

Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away440%

0–3Straight, away330%

These 10 meetings

MetricBalabeiHorokhB − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.239.8−5.6per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricBalabeiHorokhBasisWin rate · lifetime515 / 995 vs 703 / 123351.8%57%515 / 995 vs 703 / 1233Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.4per match

Setka Cup · #13285924

Balabei1.91

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog31% won 44 of 142

Down 0–1, comes back22% 21 of 97

Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 54

Horokh1.80

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite67% won 292 of 436

Up 2–0, closes it97% 159 of 164

Up 1–0, closes it84% 228 of 272

Serhii Balabei vs Roman Horokh 3-1 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Serhii Balabei vs Roman Horokh 3-1 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.