Jakub Pilch vs Pavel Wawrosz 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProA18 · Ostrava

Played Oct 12Finished

Jakub Pilch

Home

1.67

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

13111155112119––

Pavel Wawrosz

Away

2.10

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 3

How it is goingJakub Pilch above · Pavel Wawrosz below

Set 1 · 13-11

Set 2 · 11-5

Set 3 · 5-11

Set 4 · 21-19

Point 96 set 4, 21-19

96 points played in total.

H2H Jakub Pilch 11–7 Pavel Wawrosz Pavel Wawrosz has won 7 of their 18 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Pilch

Pilch 1.67/Wawrosz 2.10

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

—

no pick shipped on this market

What happened

3–1

Pilch won

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Pilch: form 40%, the price implies 60%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsPilch 1.666 / Wawrosz 2.10

Same-day rematch · 1h before this match

Pilch beat Wawrosz 3-0.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomePilch5wins

AwayWawrosz5wins

1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomePilch80%4 of 5

AwayWawrosz80%4 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Pilch5Wawrosz5n = 10split evenly

S2Pilch4Wawrosz6n = 10Wawrosz took 6 of 10

S3Pilch6Wawrosz4n = 10Pilch took 6 of 10

S4Pilch3Wawrosz4n = 7Wawrosz took 4 of 7

Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away440%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricPilchWawroszP − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.336.0−1.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricPilchWawroszBasisWin rate · lifetime209 / 413 vs 251 / 50050.6%50.2%209 / 413 vs 251 / 500Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.8per match

Czech Liga Pro · #13283678

Pilch1.67

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite55% won 61 of 111

Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26

Up 1–0, closes it71% 42 of 59

Wawrosz2.10

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog50% won 59 of 118

Down 0–1, comes back28% 15 of 53

Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 27

Jakub Pilch vs Pavel Wawrosz 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Jakub Pilch vs Pavel Wawrosz 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.