TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Vladimir Cermak vs Jakub Stolfa 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProA17 Hall · Liberec
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611114911111511
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingVladimir Cermak above · Jakub Stolfa below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-1
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 80 set 5, 5-11
80 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Cermak 22–5 Jakub Stolfa Jakub Stolfa has won 5 of their 27 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Cermak beat Stolfa 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stolfa form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCermak 1.40 / Stolfa 2.75
Czech Liga Pro · #13281802
Cermak1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 156 of 257
Up 2–0, closes it93% 81 of 87
Up 1–0, closes it79% 124 of 158
Stolfa2.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog50% won 75 of 150
Down 0–1, comes back33% 28 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCermak9wins
AwayStolfa1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderCermak leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCermak85.7%6 of 7
AwayStolfa0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cermak7Stolfa3n = 10Cermak took 7 of 10
S2Cermak7Stolfa3n = 10Cermak took 7 of 10
S3Cermak9Stolfa1n = 10Cermak took 9 of 10
S4Cermak4Stolfa2n = 6Cermak took 4 of 6
S5Cermak2Stolfa1n = 3Cermak took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricCermakStolfaC − SBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.430.4+9.0per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCermakStolfaBasisWin rate · lifetime572 / 1108 vs 239 / 44451.6%53.8%572 / 1108 vs 239 / 444Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
CermakCermak 1.40/Stolfa 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
2–3
Stolfa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 11 · 19:30V. Cermak3631111113J. Stolfa27113491
WOct 4 · 17:30V. Cermak4381111133J. Stolfa361159111
WOct 4 · 15:00V. Cermak331111113J. Stolfa183870
LOct 4 · 13:30V. Cermak4411511982J. Stolfa49711911113
WOct 4 · 11:00V. Cermak381111163J. Stolfa2978140
WOct 2 · 13:30V. Cermak331111113J. Stolfa166280
WOct 2 · 12:00V. Cermak331111113J. Stolfa198560
WSep 29 · 11:00V. Cermak49791111113J. Stolfa3611115452
WSep 29 · 06:00V. Cermak4111711123J. Stolfa348115101
WSep 15 · 10:30V. Cermak44111156113J. Stolfa4089111112
V. Cermak10
WOct 11 · 20:00V. Cermak2.108111012113M. Volf1.67117121032WOct 11 · 19:30J. Stolfa2.75113491V. Cermak1.4031111113WOct 11 · 18:00V. Cermak2.101121311113M. Sobisek1.67111015732LOct 9 · 08:58V. Cermak2.0011511372J. Svoboda1.73711811113WOct 9 · 08:00J. Svoboda1.7361171372V. Cermak2.001191111113LOct 9 · 07:00D. Tuma1.91913139113V. Cermak1.801111111192LOct 9 · 06:30V. Cermak2.1041311392M. Sobisek1.671111511113LOct 8 · 03:30V. Cermak2.50611671M. Vizek1.5011611113WOct 8 · 02:30M. Vizek1.441011541V. Cermak2.6312411113WOct 8 · 01:00K. Brozhik1.617770V. Cermak2.201111113
J. Stolfa10
WOct 11 · 20:30M. Sobisek2.3857111172J. Stolfa1.53111144113LOct 11 · 19:30J. Stolfa2.75113491V. Cermak1.4031111113WOct 11 · 18:30M. Volf2.1077110J. Stolfa1.671111133WOct 11 · 17:30J. Stolfa1.651151012113M. Volf2.10611121022WOct 11 · 16:00J. Stolfa3.251381111113M. Sychra1.3315118972WOct 11 · 15:30M. Volf2.001412291J. Stolfa1.73161011113WOct 11 · 14:00J. Stolfa2.6311611113V. Dvorak1.44911961LOct 10 · 13:05J. Stolfa5.0021250J. Zuzanek1.141114113WOct 10 · 12:00J. Stolfa2.251113113J. Zuzanek1.5791180LOct 10 · 11:30M. Nohejl1.301111113J. Stolfa3.409960
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