Radek Sedlacek vs Tomas Kindl 1-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupHall 51 - H1 · Prague

Played Oct 12Finished

Radek Sedlacek

Home

3.00

At publish

Lost last 4

Form at publish

1–9Last 10Lost last 4

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

711611117811––

Tomas Kindl

Away

1.36

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:53 and never touched: 55.3% is still 55.3%

Graded at full time

Radek Sedlacek to win

55.3%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

Sent to Pro: Tomas Kindl @ 2.00 · Won

The Pro pick went the other way, on a re-read before the serve.

How it is goingRadek Sedlacek above · Tomas Kindl below

Set 1 · 7-11

Set 2 · 6-11

Set 3 · 11-7

Set 4 · 8-11

Point 72 set 4, 8-11 · our read held Radek Sedlacek at 55.3%

72 points played in total.

H2H Radek Sedlacek 8–5 Tomas Kindl Tomas Kindl has won 5 of their 13 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Kindl

Sedlacek 3.00/Kindl 1.36

Hit

What we said

55.3%

Sedlacek · sealed before the serve

Sent to Pro: Tomas Kindl @ 2.00 · Won

The Pro pick went the other way, on a re-read before the serve.

What happened

1–3

Kindl won

The pick

Sealed 07:53

Sent to Pro: Tomas Kindl @ 2.00 · Won

55.3%Our read33.3%to break even at 3.00

clears by 22.0pp

33.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 3.00 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.36 (69%)

Kindl

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

8-5 in 13

Sedlacek

Wrong

gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Sedlacek 1490 vs Kindl 1519

Kindl

Correct

both rated, 29 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Sedlacek 20% vs Kindl 60%

Kindl

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Sedlacek 10% vs Kindl 30%

Kindl

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Sedlacek -4 · Kindl +1

Sedlacek

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 0 silent when this read was sealed. The pick sent to Pro came from a re-read before the serve.

Signal confidence: 55% · Slight lean (leans Sedlacek) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Kindl: form 60%, the price implies 73%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSedlacek 3.00 / Kindl 1.363

Signal prob.55% / 45%

Edge (Sedlacek)+22.0pp

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeSedlacek5wins

AwayKindl5wins

5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSedlacekn = 2, below the 3 needed

AwayKindl50%4 of 8

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Sedlacek2Kindl8n = 10Kindl took 8 of 10

S2Sedlacek5Kindl5n = 10split evenly

S3Sedlacek8Kindl2n = 10Sedlacek took 8 of 10

S4Sedlacek6Kindl4n = 10Sedlacek took 6 of 10

S5Sedlacek2Kindl3n = 5Kindl took 3 of 5

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricSedlacekKindlS − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match44.341.5+2.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSedlacekKindlBasisWin rate · lifetime170 / 368 vs 235 / 47746.2%49.3%170 / 368 vs 235 / 477Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.541.3per match

TT Cup · #13281792

Sedlacek3.00

10%won 1 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 4

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog46% won 39 of 84

Down 0–1, comes back33% 14 of 43

Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 23

Kindl1.36

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite55% won 57 of 104

Up 2–0, closes it100% 23 of 23

Up 1–0, closes it75% 38 of 51

Radek Sedlacek vs Tomas Kindl 1-3 · TT Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Radek Sedlacek vs Tomas Kindl 1-3 · TT Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.