Anatolii Lievshin vs Volodymyr Savoliuk 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Anatolii Lievshin

Home

1.62

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

1210711711112117

Volodymyr Savoliuk

Away

2.20

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:55 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Anatolii Lievshin to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingAnatolii Lievshin above · Volodymyr Savoliuk below

Set 1 · 12-10

Set 2 · 7-11

Set 3 · 7-11

Set 4 · 11-2

Set 5 · 11-7

Point 89 set 5, 11-7 · our read held Anatolii Lievshin at 54.0%

89 points played in total.

H2H Anatolii Lievshin 5–9 Volodymyr Savoliuk Anatolii Lievshin has won 5 of their 14 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6Same sideHead to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Lievshin

Lievshin 1.61/Savoliuk 2.20

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Lievshin · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Lievshin won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 17:55

54.0%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615

short by 7.9pp

61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.61 (58%)

Lievshin

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

5-9 in 14

Savoliuk

Wrong

gap of 4 in 14, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Lievshin 1723 vs Savoliuk 1770

Savoliuk

Wrong

both rated, 47 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Lievshin 80% vs Savoliuk 60%

Lievshin

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Lievshin 50% vs Savoliuk 70%

Savoliuk

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Lievshin +1 · Savoliuk -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Lievshin) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Savoliuk: form 60%, the price implies 45%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsLievshin 1.615 / Savoliuk 2.20

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Lievshin)-7.9pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeLievshin4wins

AwaySavoliuk6wins

3 of 10 to a deciderSavoliuk leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeLievshin75%3 of 4

AwaySavoliuk83.3%5 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Lievshin4Savoliuk6n = 10Savoliuk took 6 of 10

S2Lievshin7Savoliuk3n = 10Lievshin took 7 of 10

S3Lievshin3Savoliuk7n = 10Savoliuk took 7 of 10

S4Lievshin5Savoliuk5n = 10split evenly

S5Lievshin1Savoliuk2n = 3Savoliuk took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away440%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricLievshinSavoliukL − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.141.0+0.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricLievshinSavoliukBasisWin rate · lifetime219 / 392 vs 300 / 53555.9%56.1%219 / 392 vs 300 / 535Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.5per match

Setka Cup · #13281450

Lievshin1.61

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite60% won 146 of 243

Up 2–0, closes it95% 73 of 77

Up 1–0, closes it84% 114 of 136

Savoliuk2.20

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog31% won 14 of 45

Down 0–1, comes back13% 3 of 24

Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18

Anatolii Lievshin vs Volodymyr Savoliuk 3-2 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Anatolii Lievshin vs Volodymyr Savoliuk 3-2 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.