Volodymyr Savoliuk vs Andrii Hrabskyi 3-0

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Volodymyr Savoliuk

Home

2.10

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 2

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

118119119––––

Andrii Hrabskyi

Away

1.67

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:42 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Andrii Hrabskyi to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

Sent to Pro: Volodymyr Savoliuk @ 2.10 · Won

The Pro pick went the other way, on a re-read before the serve.

How it is goingVolodymyr Savoliuk above · Andrii Hrabskyi below

Set 1 · 11-8

Set 2 · 11-9

Set 3 · 11-9

Point 59 set 3, 11-9 · our read held Andrii Hrabskyi at 54.0%

59 points played in total.

H2H Volodymyr Savoliuk 3–10 Andrii Hrabskyi Volodymyr Savoliuk has won 3 of their 13 meetings.

Last 10 · 1–9Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Savoliuk

Savoliuk 2.10/Hrabskyi 1.67

Hit

What we said

54%

Hrabskyi · sealed before the serve

Sent to Pro: Volodymyr Savoliuk @ 2.10 · Won

The Pro pick went the other way, on a re-read before the serve.

What happened

3–0

Savoliuk won

The pick

Sealed 14:42

Sent to Pro: Volodymyr Savoliuk @ 2.10 · Won

54.0%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666

short by 6.0pp

60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.67 (56%)

Hrabskyi

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

3-10 in 13

Hrabskyi

Wrong

gap of 7 in 13, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Savoliuk 1773 vs Hrabskyi 1620

Savoliuk

Correct

both rated, 153 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Savoliuk 80% vs Hrabskyi 80%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Savoliuk 80% vs Hrabskyi 50%

Savoliuk

Correct

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Savoliuk +2 · Hrabskyi +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 2 silent when this read was sealed. The pick sent to Pro came from a re-read before the serve.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Hrabskyi) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Hrabskyi: form 80%, the price implies 60%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSavoliuk 2.10 / Hrabskyi 1.666

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Hrabskyi)-6.0pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeSavoliuk1wins

AwayHrabskyi9wins

1 of 10 to a deciderHrabskyi leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSavoliukn = 2, below the 3 needed

AwayHrabskyi100%8 of 8

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Savoliuk2Hrabskyi8n = 10Hrabskyi took 8 of 10

S2Savoliuk2Hrabskyi8n = 10Hrabskyi took 8 of 10

S3Savoliuk4Hrabskyi5n = 9Hrabskyi took 5 of 9

S4Savoliuk1Hrabskyi5n = 6Hrabskyi took 5 of 6

Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away550%

0–3Straight, away330%

These 10 meetings

MetricSavoliukHrabskyiS − HBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match32.339.8−7.5per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSavoliukHrabskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime299 / 533 vs 254 / 59056.1%43.1%299 / 533 vs 254 / 590Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.1per match

Setka Cup · #13281643

Savoliuk2.10

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog31% won 14 of 45

Down 0–1, comes back13% 3 of 24

Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18

Hrabskyi1.67

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite56% won 64 of 115

Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34

Up 1–0, closes it80% 52 of 65

Volodymyr Savoliuk vs Andrii Hrabskyi 3-0 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Volodymyr Savoliuk vs Andrii Hrabskyi 3-0 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.