Volodymyr Savoliuk vs Artem Yurkov 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Volodymyr Savoliuk

Home

3.25

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

118101211610121210

Artem Yurkov

Away

1.33

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Lost last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:29 and never touched: 74.4% is still 74.4%

Graded at full time

Artem Yurkov to win

74.4%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingVolodymyr Savoliuk above · Artem Yurkov below

Set 1 · 11-8

Set 2 · 10-12

Set 3 · 11-6

Set 4 · 10-12

Set 5 · 12-10

Point 102 set 5, 12-10 · our read held Artem Yurkov at 74.4%

102 points played in total.

H2H Volodymyr Savoliuk 4–24 Artem Yurkov Volodymyr Savoliuk has won 4 of their 28 meetings.

Last 10 · 1–9Same sideHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Yurkov

Savoliuk 3.25/Yurkov 1.33

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

74.4%

Yurkov · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Savoliuk won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 14:29

74.4%Our read75.0%to break even at 1.333

short by 0.6pp

75.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.333 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.33 (71%)

Yurkov

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

4-24 in 28

Yurkov

Wrong

gap of 20 in 28, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Savoliuk 1763 vs Yurkov 1734

Savoliuk

Correct

both rated, 29 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Savoliuk 60% vs Yurkov 60%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Savoliuk 80% vs Yurkov 70%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Savoliuk +1 · Yurkov -2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 74% · Strong (leans Yurkov) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Yurkov: form 60%, the price implies 75%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSavoliuk 3.25 / Yurkov 1.333

Signal prob.26% / 74%

Edge (Yurkov)-0.6pp

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeSavoliuk1wins

AwayYurkov9wins

3 of 10 to a deciderYurkov leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSavoliuk25%1 of 4

AwayYurkov100%6 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Savoliuk4Yurkov6n = 10Yurkov took 6 of 10

S2Savoliuk4Yurkov6n = 10Yurkov took 6 of 10

S3Savoliuk3Yurkov7n = 10Yurkov took 7 of 10

S4Savoliuk1Yurkov7n = 8Yurkov took 7 of 8

S5Savoliuk1Yurkov2n = 3Yurkov took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away660%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricSavoliukYurkovS − YBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.741.3−6.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSavoliukYurkovBasisWin rate · lifetime298 / 532 vs 563 / 94856%59.4%298 / 532 vs 563 / 948Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.540.8per match

Setka Cup · #13281762

Savoliuk3.25

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog31% won 14 of 45

Down 0–1, comes back13% 3 of 24

Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18

Yurkov1.33

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite60% won 183 of 307

Up 2–0, closes it94% 72 of 77

Up 1–0, closes it74% 122 of 164

Volodymyr Savoliuk vs Artem Yurkov 3-2 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Volodymyr Savoliuk vs Artem Yurkov 3-2 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.