Valerii Lukianevych vs Hennadii Buianover 0-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Valerii Lukianevych

Home

1.57

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 3

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

511411311––––

Hennadii Buianover

Away

2.25

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:00 and never touched: 56.1% is still 56.1%

Graded at full time

Valerii Lukianevych to win

56.1%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingValerii Lukianevych above · Hennadii Buianover below

Set 1 · 5-11

Set 2 · 4-11

Set 3 · 3-11

Point 45 set 3, 3-11 · our read held Valerii Lukianevych at 56.1%

45 points played in total.

H2H Valerii Lukianevych 82–39 Hennadii Buianover Hennadii Buianover has won 39 of their 121 meetings.

Last 10 · 7–3Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Lukianevych

Lukianevych 1.57/Buianover 2.25

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

56.1%

Lukianevych · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Buianover won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 17:00

56.1%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571

short by 7.6pp

63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)

What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.57 (59%)

Lukianevych

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

82-39 in 121

Lukianevych

Wrong

gap of 43 in 121, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Lukianevych 1166 vs Buianover 1212

Buianover

Correct

both rated, 45 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Lukianevych 40% vs Buianover 40%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Lukianevych 30% vs Buianover 40%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Lukianevych -3 · Buianover +1

Lukianevych

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Lukianevych) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Lukianevych: form 40%, the price implies 64%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsLukianevych 1.571 / Buianover 2.25

Signal prob.56% / 44%

Edge (Lukianevych)-7.6pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeLukianevych7wins

AwayBuianover3wins

1 of 10 to a deciderLukianevych leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeLukianevych100%5 of 5

AwayBuianover60%3 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Lukianevych5Buianover5n = 10split evenly

S2Lukianevych7Buianover3n = 10Lukianevych took 7 of 10

S3Lukianevych6Buianover4n = 10Lukianevych took 6 of 10

S4Lukianevych4Buianover3n = 7Lukianevych took 4 of 7

Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home440%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricLukianevychBuianoverL − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.433.7+2.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricLukianevychBuianoverBasisWin rate · lifetime204 / 415 vs 161 / 39749.2%40.6%204 / 415 vs 161 / 397Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.0per match

Setka Cup · #13281443

Lukianevych1.57

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite69% won 69 of 100

Up 2–0, closes it95% 38 of 40

Up 1–0, closes it82% 51 of 62

Buianover2.25

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog34% won 48 of 143

Down 0–1, comes back11% 9 of 81

Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 56

Valerii Lukianevych vs Hennadii Buianover 0-3 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Valerii Lukianevych vs Hennadii Buianover 0-3 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.