Oleksandr Lyman vs Serhii Miroshnychenko 0-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Oleksandr Lyman

Home

1.30

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 1

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

411611711––––

Serhii Miroshnychenko

Away

3.40

At publish

Lost last 4

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 4

The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:26 and never touched: 78.6% is still 78.6%

Graded at full time

Oleksandr Lyman to win

78.6%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingOleksandr Lyman above · Serhii Miroshnychenko below

Set 1 · 4-11

Set 2 · 6-11

Set 3 · 7-11

Point 50 set 3, 7-11 · our read held Oleksandr Lyman at 78.6%

50 points played in total.

H2H Oleksandr Lyman 77–14 Serhii Miroshnychenko Serhii Miroshnychenko has won 14 of their 91 meetings.

Last 10 · 9–1Same sideHead to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Lyman

Lyman 1.30/Miroshnychenko 3.40

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

78.6%

Lyman · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Miroshnychenko won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 11:26

78.6%Our read76.9%to break even at 1.30

clears by 1.7pp

76.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.30 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.30 (72%)

Lyman

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

77-14 in 91

Lyman

Wrong

gap of 63 in 91, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Lyman 1411 vs Miroshnychenko 1310

Lyman

Wrong

both rated, 101 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Lyman 60% vs Miroshnychenko 20%

Lyman

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Lyman 30% vs Miroshnychenko 20%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Lyman +1 · Miroshnychenko -4

Miroshnychenko

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 79% · Strong (leans Lyman) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Lyman: form 60%, the price implies 77%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsLyman 1.30 / Miroshnychenko 3.40

Signal prob.79% / 21%

Edge (Lyman)+1.7pp

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeLyman9wins

AwayMiroshnychenko1wins

2 of 10 to a deciderLyman leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeLyman100%8 of 8

AwayMiroshnychenkon = 2, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Lyman8Miroshnychenko2n = 10Lyman took 8 of 10

S2Lyman6Miroshnychenko4n = 10Lyman took 6 of 10

S3Lyman9Miroshnychenko1n = 10Lyman took 9 of 10

S4Lyman5Miroshnychenko1n = 6Lyman took 5 of 6

Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home440%

3–1Four sets, home440%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricLymanMiroshnychenkoL − MBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.033.7+7.3per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricLymanMiroshnychenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime267 / 631 vs 295 / 84942.3%34.8%267 / 631 vs 295 / 849Avg sets wonper match1.81.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.834.9per match

Setka Cup · #13281221

Lyman1.30

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite77% won 30 of 39

Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12

Up 1–0, closes it92% 22 of 24

Miroshnychenko3.40

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 4

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog23% won 71 of 314

Down 0–1, comes back10% 19 of 192

Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 101

Oleksandr Lyman vs Serhii Miroshnychenko 0-3 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Oleksandr Lyman vs Serhii Miroshnychenko 0-3 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.