Denys Maltsev vs Ivan Fashchevskyi 0-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 13Finished

Denys Maltsev

Home

1.73

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 2

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

1113811911––––

Ivan Fashchevskyi

Away

2.00

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:56 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Denys Maltsev to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingDenys Maltsev above · Ivan Fashchevskyi below

Set 1 · 11-13

Set 2 · 8-11

Set 3 · 9-11

Point 63 set 3, 9-11 · our read held Denys Maltsev at 54.0%

63 points played in total.

H2H Denys Maltsev 36–32 Ivan Fashchevskyi Ivan Fashchevskyi has won 32 of their 68 meetings.

Last 10 · 7–3Same sideHead to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Maltsev

Maltsev 1.73/Fashchevskyi 2.00

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Maltsev · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Fashchevskyi won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 02:56

54.0%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727

short by 3.9pp

57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Maltsev

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

36-32 in 68

Maltsev

Wrong

gap of 4 in 68, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Maltsev 1539 vs Fashchevskyi 1537

Maltsev

Wrong

both rated, 3 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Maltsev 80% vs Fashchevskyi 60%

Maltsev

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Maltsev 60% vs Fashchevskyi 70%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Maltsev +2 · Fashchevskyi +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Maltsev) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Maltsev: form 80%, the price implies 58%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMaltsev 1.727 / Fashchevskyi 2.00

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Maltsev)-3.9pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeMaltsev7wins

AwayFashchevskyi3wins

3 of 10 to a deciderMaltsev leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeMaltsev75%3 of 4

AwayFashchevskyi33.3%2 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Maltsev4Fashchevskyi6n = 10Fashchevskyi took 6 of 10

S2Maltsev7Fashchevskyi3n = 10Maltsev took 7 of 10

S3Maltsev8Fashchevskyi2n = 10Maltsev took 8 of 10

S4Maltsev4Fashchevskyi3n = 7Maltsev took 4 of 7

S5Maltsev2Fashchevskyi1n = 3Maltsev took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricMaltsevFashchevskyiM − FBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.235.0+5.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricMaltsevFashchevskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime462 / 911 vs 328 / 66850.7%49.1%462 / 911 vs 328 / 668Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.9per match

Setka Cup · #13280935

Maltsev1.73

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite60% won 112 of 186

Up 2–0, closes it89% 66 of 74

Up 1–0, closes it79% 81 of 103

Fashchevskyi2.00

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog44% won 111 of 253

Down 0–1, comes back28% 36 of 131

Down 0–2, comes back10% 6 of 61

Denys Maltsev vs Ivan Fashchevskyi 0-3 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Denys Maltsev vs Ivan Fashchevskyi 0-3 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.