Ivan Fashchevskyi vs Ivan Pytsko 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 13Finished

Ivan Fashchevskyi

Home

2.25

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

119611811119119

Ivan Pytsko

Away

1.57

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:17 and never touched: 60.1% is still 60.1%

Graded at full time

Ivan Pytsko to win

60.1%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingIvan Fashchevskyi above · Ivan Pytsko below

Set 1 · 11-9

Set 2 · 6-11

Set 3 · 8-11

Set 4 · 11-9

Set 5 · 11-9

Point 96 set 5, 11-9 · our read held Ivan Pytsko at 60.1%

96 points played in total.

H2H Ivan Fashchevskyi 15–21 Ivan Pytsko Ivan Fashchevskyi has won 15 of their 36 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6Same sideHead to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Pytsko

Fashchevskyi 2.25/Pytsko 1.57

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

60.1%

Pytsko · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Fashchevskyi won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 01:17

60.1%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571

short by 3.6pp

63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)

What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.57 (59%)

Pytsko

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

15-21 in 36

Pytsko

Wrong

gap of 6 in 36, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Fashchevskyi 1523 vs Pytsko 1620

Pytsko

Wrong

both rated, 97 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Fashchevskyi 60% vs Pytsko 40%

Fashchevskyi

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Fashchevskyi 60% vs Pytsko 60%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Fashchevskyi -1 · Pytsko -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Pytsko) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Pytsko: form 40%, the price implies 64%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsFashchevskyi 2.25 / Pytsko 1.571

Signal prob.40% / 60%

Edge (Pytsko)-3.6pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeFashchevskyi4wins

AwayPytsko6wins

3 of 10 to a deciderPytsko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeFashchevskyin = 2, below the 3 needed

AwayPytsko75%6 of 8

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Fashchevskyi2Pytsko8n = 10Pytsko took 8 of 10

S2Fashchevskyi4Pytsko6n = 10Pytsko took 6 of 10

S3Fashchevskyi4Pytsko6n = 10Pytsko took 6 of 10

S4Fashchevskyi2Pytsko2n = 4split evenly

S5Fashchevskyi2Pytsko1n = 3Fashchevskyi took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away550%

These 10 meetings

MetricFashchevskyiPytskoF − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match34.535.8−1.3per matchSweeps15−43–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricFashchevskyiPytskoBasisWin rate · lifetime327 / 667 vs 349 / 62349%56%327 / 667 vs 349 / 623Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.7per match

Setka Cup · #13280985

Fashchevskyi2.25

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog44% won 111 of 253

Down 0–1, comes back28% 36 of 131

Down 0–2, comes back10% 6 of 61

Pytsko1.57

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As favourite54% won 91 of 170

Up 2–0, closes it96% 43 of 45

Up 1–0, closes it76% 70 of 92

Ivan Fashchevskyi vs Ivan Pytsko 3-2 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Ivan Fashchevskyi vs Ivan Pytsko 3-2 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.