Libor Prikasky vs Radovan Polasek 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProA18 · Ostrava

Played Oct 12Finished

Libor Prikasky

Home

2.75

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

1–9Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

111313111315117117

Radovan Polasek

Away

1.40

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:24 and never touched: 70.3% is still 70.3%

Graded at full time

Radovan Polasek to win

70.3%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingLibor Prikasky above · Radovan Polasek below

Set 1 · 11-13

Set 2 · 13-11

Set 3 · 13-15

Set 4 · 11-7

Set 5 · 11-7

Point 112 set 5, 11-7 · our read held Radovan Polasek at 70.3%

112 points played in total.

H2H Libor Prikasky 1–4 Radovan Polasek Libor Prikasky has won 1 of their 5 meetings.

Last 5 · 1–4Same sideHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Polasek

Prikasky 2.75/Polasek 1.40

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

70.3%

Polasek · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Prikasky won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 20:24

70.3%Our read71.4%to break even at 1.40

short by 1.1pp

71.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.40 they are the same number)

What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.40 (66%)

Polasek

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

1-4 in 5

Polasek

Wrong

gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Prikasky 1713 vs Polasek 1875

Polasek

Wrong

both rated, 162 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Prikasky 20% vs Polasek 80%

Polasek

Wrong

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Prikasky 10% vs Polasek 80%

Polasek

Wrong

70pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Prikasky -1 · Polasek +2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 70% · Strong (leans Polasek) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Prikasky: form 20%, the price implies 36%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsPrikasky 2.75 / Polasek 1.40

Signal prob.30% / 70%

Edge (Polasek)-1.1pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 5 meetings

HomePrikasky1wins

AwayPolasek4wins

Polasek leads 4–1.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomePrikaskyn = 1, below the 3 needed

AwayPolasek100%4 of 4

Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Prikasky1Polasek4n = 5Polasek took 4 of 5

S2Prikasky1Polasek4n = 5Polasek took 4 of 5

S3Prikasky2Polasek3n = 5Polasek took 3 of 5

Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home120%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away120%

0–3Straight, away360%

These 5 meetings

MetricPrikaskyPolasekPrikasky − PolasekBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match27.433.8−6.4per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricPrikaskyPolasekBasisWin rate · lifetime273 / 499 vs 494 / 97154.7%50.9%273 / 499 vs 494 / 971Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.4per match

Czech Liga Pro · #13280370

Prikasky2.75

10%won 1 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog44% won 88 of 202

Down 0–1, comes back24% 27 of 114

Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 65

Polasek1.40

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite52% won 144 of 275

Up 2–0, closes it86% 77 of 90

Up 1–0, closes it73% 107 of 147

Libor Prikasky vs Radovan Polasek 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Libor Prikasky vs Radovan Polasek 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.