TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Radovan Polasek vs Pavel Wawrosz 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 9Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115117116––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingRadovan Polasek above · Pavel Wawrosz below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 51 set 3, 11-6
51 points played in total.
H2H Radovan Polasek 33–29 Pavel Wawrosz Pavel Wawrosz has won 29 of their 62 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Polasek beat Wawrosz 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Polasek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolasek 1.727 / Wawrosz 2.00
Czech Liga Pro · #13268405
Polasek1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite52% won 144 of 276
Up 2–0, closes it85% 74 of 87
Up 1–0, closes it72% 104 of 145
Wawrosz2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 55 of 111
Down 0–1, comes back31% 16 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back16% 4 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePolasek7wins
AwayWawrosz3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderPolasek leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePolasek83.3%5 of 6
AwayWawrosz50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Polasek6Wawrosz4n = 10Polasek took 6 of 10
S2Polasek4Wawrosz6n = 10Wawrosz took 6 of 10
S3Polasek8Wawrosz2n = 10Polasek took 8 of 10
S4Polasek5Wawrosz4n = 9Polasek took 5 of 9
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPolasekWawroszP − WBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.533.1+4.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolasekWawroszBasisWin rate · lifetime489 / 964 vs 245 / 48850.7%50.2%489 / 964 vs 245 / 488Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PolasekPolasek 1.73/Wawrosz 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–0
Polasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 9 · 08:30R. Polasek4211119113P. Wawrosz29651171
WOct 8 · 08:30R. Polasek3811511113P. Wawrosz32711861
LOct 2 · 10:30R. Polasek30781141P. Wawrosz3611113113
LSep 18 · 08:30R. Polasek24117421P. Wawrosz3961111113
WSep 17 · 11:30R. Polasek341111123P. Wawrosz1835100
WSep 14 · 11:00R. Polasek4391111123P. Wawrosz311146101
WSep 14 · 09:30R. Polasek3851111113P. Wawrosz29117381
WSep 14 · 06:30R. Polasek50118119113P. Wawrosz4681191172
LSep 11 · 11:00R. Polasek399101191P. Wawrosz4111127113
WSep 8 · 09:29R. Polasek3711411113P. Wawrosz30711661
R. Polasek10
WOct 9 · 08:30P. Wawrosz2.00651171R. Polasek1.7311119113WOct 9 · 07:30R. Polasek1.731111113R. Revay2.006770WOct 9 · 06:30T. Zika1.807411111R. Polasek1.9111118133WOct 8 · 09:00R. Polasek1.671111113M. Vavrecka2.104590WOct 8 · 08:30P. Wawrosz2.00711861R. Polasek1.7311511113LOct 8 · 07:30R. Polasek1.919330O. Paril1.801111113WOct 8 · 06:30M. Vavrecka2.10911871R. Polasek1.6711611113LOct 7 · 09:30T. Zika1.731111153R. Polasek2.0078130LOct 7 · 08:30M. Vavrecka2.10741111113R. Polasek1.6711118852WOct 7 · 07:30R. Polasek1.91411711113T. Zika1.8011811782
P. Wawrosz10
LOct 9 · 08:30P. Wawrosz2.00651171R. Polasek1.7311119113WOct 9 · 07:00P. Wawrosz1.911111113T. Zika1.809870WOct 9 · 06:00R. Revay1.839670P. Wawrosz1.831111113LOct 8 · 09:30P. Wawrosz1.95661361O. Paril1.75111111113LOct 8 · 08:30P. Wawrosz2.00711861R. Polasek1.7311511113WOct 8 · 07:00P. Wawrosz1.839101111113M. Vavrecka1.8311127752WOct 8 · 06:00O. Paril1.804680P. Wawrosz1.911111113WOct 7 · 13:09M. Navedla1.80113861P. Wawrosz1.9071111113LOct 7 · 12:00T. Dousek1.571111133P. Wawrosz2.2564110LOct 7 · 11:00M. Navedla2.00511118113P. Wawrosz1.7311471192
Upcoming Matches
R. Polasek
Nothing scheduled
P. Wawrosz
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