Petr David vs Josef Braun 1-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesHSC · Czestochowa

Played Oct 12Finished

Petr David

Home

1.44

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 2

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

511117811611––

Josef Braun

Away

2.63

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:32 and never touched: 70.8% is still 70.8%

Graded at full time

Petr David to win

70.8%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingPetr David above · Josef Braun below

Set 1 · 5-11

Set 2 · 11-7

Set 3 · 8-11

Set 4 · 6-11

Point 70 set 4, 6-11 · our read held Petr David at 70.8%

70 points played in total.

H2H Petr David 22–6 Josef Braun Josef Braun has won 6 of their 28 meetings.

Last 10 · 8–2Same sideHead to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

David

David 1.44/Braun 2.63

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

70.8%

David · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Braun won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 14:32

70.8%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444

clears by 1.5pp

69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)

What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.44 (65%)

David

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

22-6 in 28

David

Wrong

gap of 16 in 28, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

David 2015 vs Braun 1794

David

Wrong

both rated, 221 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

David 80% vs Braun 20%

David

Wrong

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

David 80% vs Braun 50%

David

Wrong

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

David +2 · Braun +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 71% · Strong (leans David) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Braun: form 20%, the price implies 38%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsDavid 1.444 / Braun 2.625

Signal prob.71% / 29%

Edge (David)+1.5pp

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeDavid8wins

AwayBraun2wins

5 of 10 to a deciderDavid leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeDavid85.7%6 of 7

AwayBraun33.3%1 of 3

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1David7Braun3n = 10David took 7 of 10

S2David6Braun4n = 10David took 6 of 10

S3David7Braun3n = 10David took 7 of 10

S4David2Braun4n = 6Braun took 4 of 6

S5David4Braun1n = 5David took 4 of 5

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home330%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home440%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricDavidBraunD − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.936.7+6.2per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricDavidBraunBasisWin rate · lifetime665 / 1002 vs 503 / 97066.4%51.9%665 / 1002 vs 503 / 970Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.937.9per match

TT Elite Series · #13279732

David1.44

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite66% won 237 of 359

Up 2–0, closes it94% 117 of 124

Up 1–0, closes it81% 172 of 213

Braun2.63

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog40% won 80 of 198

Down 0–1, comes back23% 26 of 111

Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 63

Petr David vs Josef Braun 1-3 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Petr David vs Josef Braun 1-3 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.