Krzysztof Wloczko vs Josef Braun 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesHSC · Czestochowa

Played Oct 12Finished

Krzysztof Wloczko

Home

1.83

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 4

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

1194111412119––

Josef Braun

Away

1.83

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:48 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Krzysztof Wloczko to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingKrzysztof Wloczko above · Josef Braun below

Set 1 · 11-9

Set 2 · 4-11

Set 3 · 14-12

Set 4 · 11-9

Point 81 set 4, 11-9 · our read held Krzysztof Wloczko at 54.0%

81 points played in total.

H2H Krzysztof Wloczko 33–25 Josef Braun Josef Braun has won 25 of their 58 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6SplitHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Wloczko

Wloczko 1.83/Braun 1.83

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Wloczko · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Wloczko won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 10:48

54.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833

short by 0.6pp

54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)

What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.83 (50%)

Braun

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

33-25 in 58

Wloczko

Correct

gap of 8 in 58, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Wloczko 1829 vs Braun 1806

Wloczko

Correct

both rated, 23 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Wloczko 80% vs Braun 60%

Wloczko

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Wloczko 60% vs Braun 40%

Wloczko

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Wloczko +4 · Braun -2

Wloczko

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Wloczko) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Wloczko: form 80%, the price implies 55%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsWloczko 1.833 / Braun 1.833

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Wloczko)-0.6pp

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeWloczko4wins

AwayBraun6wins

4 of 10 to a deciderBraun leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeWloczkon = 2, below the 3 needed

AwayBraun62.5%5 of 8

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Wloczko2Braun8n = 10Braun took 8 of 10

S2Wloczko6Braun4n = 10Wloczko took 6 of 10

S3Wloczko4Braun6n = 10Braun took 6 of 10

S4Wloczko4Braun4n = 8split evenly

S5Wloczko2Braun2n = 4split evenly

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricWloczkoBraunW − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match37.841.8−4.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricWloczkoBraunBasisWin rate · lifetime935 / 1783 vs 502 / 96752.4%51.9%935 / 1783 vs 502 / 967Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.9per match

TT Elite Series · #13279847

Wloczko1.83

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 4

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

Braun1.83

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

Krzysztof Wloczko vs Josef Braun 3-1 · TT Elite Series

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Krzysztof Wloczko vs Josef Braun 3-1 · TT Elite Series

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.