Julius Didi vs Radek Bartunek 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProA12 · Liberec

Played Oct 13Finished

Julius Didi

Home

2.38

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 3

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

10121113118411––

Radek Bartunek

Away

1.53

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:17 and never touched: 63.2% is still 63.2%

Graded at full time

Radek Bartunek to win

63.2%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingJulius Didi above · Radek Bartunek below

Set 1 · 10-12

Set 2 · 11-13

Set 3 · 11-8

Set 4 · 4-11

Point 80 set 4, 4-11 · our read held Radek Bartunek at 63.2%

80 points played in total.

H2H Julius Didi 2–6 Radek Bartunek Julius Didi has won 2 of their 8 meetings.

Last 8 · 2–6Same sideHead to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Bartunek

Didi 2.38/Bartunek 1.53

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

63.2%

Bartunek · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Bartunek won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 02:17

63.2%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533

short by 2.0pp

65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.53 (61%)

Bartunek

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

2-6 in 8

Bartunek

Correct

gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Didi 1350 vs Bartunek 1450

Bartunek

Correct

both rated, 99 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Didi 20% vs Bartunek 40%

Bartunek

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Didi 40% vs Bartunek 50%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Didi -3 · Bartunek -1

Didi

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 63% · Clear lean (leans Bartunek) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Bartunek: form 40%, the price implies 65%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsDidi 2.375 / Bartunek 1.533

Signal prob.37% / 63%

Edge (Bartunek)-2.0pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 8 meetings

HomeDidi2wins

AwayBartunek6wins

1 of 8 to a deciderBartunek leads 6–2, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeDidi50%2 of 4

AwayBartunek100%4 of 4

Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Didi4Bartunek4n = 8split evenly

S2Didi3Bartunek5n = 8Bartunek took 5 of 8

S3Didi3Bartunek5n = 8Bartunek took 5 of 8

S4Didi1Bartunek3n = 4Bartunek took 3 of 4

Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home225%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away113%

1–3Four sets, away338%

0–3Straight, away225%

These 8 meetings

MetricDidiBartunekD − BBasisWins26−4in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match32.136.8−4.7per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricDidiBartunekBasisWin rate · lifetime413 / 811 vs 341 / 65750.9%51.9%413 / 811 vs 341 / 657Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.8per match

Czech Liga Pro · #13279040

Didi2.38

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog43% won 89 of 209

Down 0–1, comes back19% 19 of 102

Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 61

Bartunek1.53

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite71% won 111 of 157

Up 2–0, closes it95% 59 of 62

Up 1–0, closes it90% 82 of 91

Julius Didi vs Radek Bartunek 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Julius Didi vs Radek Bartunek 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.