TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Wojciech Pytlas vs Piotr Zemla 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesBLW · Blachownia
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
4116111191113––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:45 and never touched: 74.3% is still 74.3%
Graded at full timePiotr Zemla to win
74.3%
74.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
4116111191113––
H2H Wojciech Pytlas 1–11 Piotr Zemla Wojciech Pytlas has won 1 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:4574.3%Our read74.1%to break even at 1.35
clears by 0.2pp74.1% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.35 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.35 (68%)
Zemla
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-11 in 12
Zemla
Correct
gap of 10 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pytlas 1428 vs Zemla 1474
Zemla
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pytlas 80% vs Zemla 60%
Pytlas
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pytlas 70% vs Zemla 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pytlas -1 · Zemla +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% · Strong (leans Zemla) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zemla form (60%) is below what odds imply (74%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPytlas 2.90 / Zemla 1.35
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Zemla)+0.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13277755
Pytlas2.90
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 55 of 132
Down 0–1, comes back30% 26 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back12% 6 of 50
Zemla1.35
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite66% won 59 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it95% 38 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it80% 45 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePytlas1wins
AwayZemla9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZemla leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePytlasn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayZemla90%9 of 10
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pytlas0Zemla10n = 10Zemla took 10 of 10
S2Pytlas1Zemla9n = 10Zemla took 9 of 10
S3Pytlas3Zemla7n = 10Zemla took 7 of 10
S4Pytlas2Zemla1n = 3Pytlas took 2 of 3
S5Pytlas1Zemla2n = 3Zemla took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away770%
These 10 meetings
MetricPytlasZemlaP − ZBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set010−10of 10Avg pointsper match25.237.4−12.2per matchSweeps07−73–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPytlasZemlaBasisWin rate · lifetime408 / 760 vs 63 / 10153.7%62.4%408 / 760 vs 63 / 101Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZemlaPytlas 2.90/Zemla 1.35
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.3%
Zemla · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zemla won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 4 · 03:10W. Pytlas126330P. Zemla331111113
LSep 27 · 08:20W. Pytlas162680P. Zemla331111113
LSep 20 · 05:10W. Pytlas174490P. Zemla331111113
LSep 17 · 17:10W. Pytlas40311115102P. Zemla47114911123
LSep 13 · 07:10W. Pytlas163580P. Zemla331111113
LSep 5 · 05:10W. Pytlas189450P. Zemla331111113
LSep 1 · 18:45W. Pytlas4998111382P. Zemla521111811113
LAug 30 · 08:00W. Pytlas177550P. Zemla331111113
WAug 19 · 17:10W. Pytlas491051111123P. Zemla44121192102
LAug 9 · 04:00W. Pytlas185850P. Zemla331111113
W. Pytlas10
LOct 11 · 04:00J. Jesiek2.0011119113W. Pytlas1.72491171WOct 10 · 08:00M. Koczyba1.7512911652W. Pytlas1.951011711113WOct 10 · 07:10K. Adamus1.62101111692W. Pytlas2.17127911113WOct 10 · 06:25W. Pytlas2.1511117113K. Hetnar1.60751191WOct 10 · 04:50W. Pytlas1.8812119113J. Jesiek1.821061151WOct 10 · 04:00I. Szymanski2.081510118112W. Pytlas1.681312611133LOct 8 · 20:45K. Adamus1.64115911123W. Pytlas2.14811119102WOct 8 · 19:35W. Pytlas1.271111113R. Komandzik3.259360WOct 8 · 18:25G. Jurowicz2.404390W. Pytlas1.501111113LOct 8 · 17:10M. Tkocz1.461111113W. Pytlas2.554130
P. Zemla10
WOct 11 · 03:10R. Adach2.95114761P. Zemla1.3271111113LOct 4 · 08:20M. Koczyba2.351111113P. Zemla1.509570WOct 4 · 07:35K. Juszczyk2.708940P. Zemla1.401111113WOct 4 · 05:35W. Jozala5.009670P. Zemla1.151111113LOct 4 · 04:50H. Tkaczyk1.9011117113P. Zemla1.75981191WOct 4 · 03:10W. Pytlas3.566330P. Zemla1.251111113WSep 27 · 08:20W. Pytlas3.202680P. Zemla1.331111113WSep 27 · 07:35O. Sokolowski3.352114101P. Zemla1.2711611123WSep 27 · 05:35M. Adamus3.006670P. Zemla1.361111113LSep 27 · 04:50R. Idaczyk1.5751111113P. Zemla2.28114581
Upcoming Matches
W. Pytlas
Nothing scheduled
P. Zemla
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