TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Wojciech Pytlas vs Jakub Jesiek 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesBLW · Blachownia
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210116911115––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:45 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeWojciech Pytlas to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
1210116911115––
H2H Wojciech Pytlas 4–1 Jakub Jesiek Jakub Jesiek has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:4554.0%Our read53.2%to break even at 1.88
clears by 0.8pp53.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.88 they are the same number)
What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.82 (51%)
Jesiek
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Pytlas
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pytlas 1396 vs Jesiek 1404
Jesiek
Wrong
both rated, 7 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pytlas 60% vs Jesiek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pytlas 60% vs Jesiek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pytlas +1 · Jesiek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Pytlas) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPytlas 1.88 / Jesiek 1.82
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pytlas)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13272878
Pytlas1.88
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 51 of 128
Down 0–1, comes back29% 25 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back12% 6 of 50
Jesiek1.82
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 80 of 152
Up 2–0, closes it92% 44 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it73% 60 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomePytlas4wins
AwayJesiek1wins
3 of 5 to a deciderPytlas leads 4–1, and 3 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePytlasn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayJesiek33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pytlas2Jesiek3n = 5Jesiek took 3 of 5
S2Pytlas4Jesiek1n = 5Pytlas took 4 of 5
S3Pytlas2Jesiek3n = 5Jesiek took 3 of 5
S4Pytlas4Jesiek1n = 5Pytlas took 4 of 5
S5Pytlas2Jesiek1n = 3Pytlas took 2 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricPytlasJesiekP − JBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match44.243.0+1.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPytlasJesiekBasisWin rate · lifetime405 / 757 vs 296 / 56453.5%52.5%405 / 757 vs 296 / 564Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PytlasPytlas 1.88/Jesiek 1.82
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pytlas · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pytlas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 5 · 06:25W. Pytlas49811811113J. Jesiek4611911962
LJul 26 · 04:50W. Pytlas46511121352J. Jesiek561191015113
WApr 25 · 08:00W. Pytlas4111127113J. Jesiek368101171
WNov 30 · 05:50W. Pytlas3811511113J. Jesiek37811991
WNov 29 · 08:35W. Pytlas47911511113J. Jesiek4011911542
W. Pytlas10
WOct 10 · 06:25W. Pytlas2.1511117113K. Hetnar1.60751191WOct 10 · 04:00I. Szymanski2.081510118112W. Pytlas1.681312611133LOct 8 · 20:45K. Adamus1.64115911123W. Pytlas2.14811119102WOct 8 · 19:35W. Pytlas1.271111113R. Komandzik3.259360WOct 8 · 18:25G. Jurowicz2.404390W. Pytlas1.501111113LOct 8 · 17:10M. Tkocz1.461111113W. Pytlas2.554130WOct 8 · 15:35M. Koczyba1.666940W. Pytlas2.051111113LOct 7 · 20:45T. Wrzalik1.95111138143W. Pytlas1.74991111122WOct 7 · 19:35W. Pytlas1.571111113M. Baron2.256930LOct 7 · 18:25S. Krupa1.66111156113W. Pytlas2.0599111182
J. Jesiek10
LOct 10 · 03:10K. Adamus1.881111113J. Jesiek1.829890WOct 4 · 14:40P. Polok1.5011940J. Jesiek2.501311113WOct 4 · 13:30J. Jesiek2.00116117113W. Buczynski1.7391151152LOct 4 · 12:15D. Swider1.61811129113J. Jesiek2.20117101182WOct 4 · 11:00R. Idaczyk1.8313117582J. Jesiek1.831141111113LOct 4 · 09:25W. Wojtaszczyk1.831112113J. Jesiek1.8371040LOct 4 · 08:35D. Swider1.7311113113J. Jesiek2.00471181WOct 4 · 07:20J. Jesiek1.831111113W. Buczynski1.835650WOct 4 · 06:05P. Polok1.44510120J. Jesiek2.631112143WOct 4 · 04:55R. Idaczyk2.007630J. Jesiek1.731111113
Upcoming Matches
W. Pytlas
Nothing scheduled
J. Jesiek
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.