TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Rafal Adach vs Piotr Zemla 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesBLW · Blachownia
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117411711611––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:59 and never touched: 88.2% is still 88.2%
Graded at full timePiotr Zemla to win
88.2%
88.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
68 points played in total.
Set by set
117411711611––
H2H Rafal Adach 0–3 Piotr Zemla Rafal Adach has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:5988.2%Our read75.8%to break even at 1.32
clears by 12.4pp75.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.32 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.32 (69%)
Zemla
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Zemla
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adach 1104 vs Zemla 1471
Zemla
Correct
both rated, 367 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adach 20% vs Zemla 60%
Zemla
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adach 20% vs Zemla 70%
Zemla
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adach -2 · Zemla -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 88% · Strong (leans Zemla) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zemla form (60%) is below what odds imply (76%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdach 2.95 / Zemla 1.32
Signal prob.12% / 88%
Edge (Zemla)+12.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13274308
Adach2.95
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 10)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog30% won 76 of 257
Down 0–1, comes back13% 20 of 160
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 106
Zemla1.32
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Oct 04) · back after a break
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite66% won 58 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it95% 38 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it80% 45 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeAdach0wins
AwayZemla3wins
Zemla leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdachn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayZemla100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adach0Zemla3n = 3Zemla took 3 of 3
S2Adach0Zemla3n = 3Zemla took 3 of 3
S3Adach0Zemla3n = 3Zemla took 3 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away3100%
These 3 meetings
MetricAdachZemlaA − ZBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match19.033.7−14.7per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdachZemlaBasisWin rate · lifetime227 / 593 vs 62 / 10038.3%62%227 / 593 vs 62 / 100Avg sets wonper match1.72.3per matchAvg pointsper match34.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZemlaAdach 2.95/Zemla 1.32
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
88.2%
Zemla · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zemla won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 5 · 06:45R. Adach167180P. Zemla331111113
LSep 1 · 15:35R. Adach146350P. Zemla331111113
LJul 26 · 06:00R. Adach2711970P. Zemla351311113
R. Adach10
LOct 11 · 04:25R. Adach2.75711121282M. Adamus1.371181014113LOct 10 · 02:10O. Jadach1.171111113R. Adach4.509530LOct 10 · 01:25M. Cesarz1.6113211113R. Adach2.201111761WOct 9 · 23:20K. Schaniel1.1461111552R. Adach5.00114611113LOct 9 · 22:35K. Juszczyk1.57111111113R. Adach2.25913781LOct 9 · 21:00G. Sawicki1.5311129113R. Adach2.384101191LOct 9 · 20:05O. Jadach1.221111123R. Adach4.0034100LOct 9 · 19:20M. Cesarz1.8061111113R. Adach1.91113781LOct 9 · 17:20K. Schaniel1.401111113R. Adach2.757750LOct 9 · 16:35O. Sokolowski1.831111113R. Adach1.836330
P. Zemla10
LOct 4 · 08:20M. Koczyba2.351111113P. Zemla1.509570WOct 4 · 07:35K. Juszczyk2.708940P. Zemla1.401111113WOct 4 · 05:35W. Jozala5.009670P. Zemla1.151111113LOct 4 · 04:50H. Tkaczyk1.9011117113P. Zemla1.75981191WOct 4 · 03:10W. Pytlas3.566330P. Zemla1.251111113WSep 27 · 08:20W. Pytlas3.202680P. Zemla1.331111113WSep 27 · 07:35O. Sokolowski3.352114101P. Zemla1.2711611123WSep 27 · 05:35M. Adamus3.006670P. Zemla1.361111113LSep 27 · 04:50R. Idaczyk1.5751111113P. Zemla2.28114581WSep 27 · 03:10K. Juszczyk2.40211741P. Zemla1.5111311113
Upcoming Matches
R. Adach
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P. Zemla
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