Oleksii Rodin vs Ihor Sukovatyi 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Oleksii Rodin

Home

2.38

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 3

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

11871113111210––

Ihor Sukovatyi

Away

1.53

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 00:08 and never touched: 60.8% is still 60.8%

Graded at full time

Ihor Sukovatyi to win

60.8%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingOleksii Rodin above · Ihor Sukovatyi below

Set 1 · 11-8

Set 2 · 7-11

Set 3 · 13-11

Set 4 · 12-10

Point 83 set 4, 12-10 · our read held Ihor Sukovatyi at 60.8%

83 points played in total.

H2H Oleksii Rodin 1–3 Ihor Sukovatyi Oleksii Rodin has won 1 of their 4 meetings.

Last 4 · 1–3Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Sukovatyi

Rodin 2.38/Sukovatyi 1.53

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

60.8%

Sukovatyi · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Rodin won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 00:08

60.8%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533

short by 4.4pp

65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)

What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.53 (61%)

Sukovatyi

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

1-3 in 4

Sukovatyi

Wrong

gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Rodin 1629 vs Sukovatyi 1692

Sukovatyi

Wrong

both rated, 63 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Rodin 20% vs Sukovatyi 40%

Sukovatyi

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Rodin 20% vs Sukovatyi 50%

Sukovatyi

Wrong

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Rodin -3 · Sukovatyi -2

Rodin

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Sukovatyi) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Sukovatyi: form 40%, the price implies 65%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsRodin 2.375 / Sukovatyi 1.533

Signal prob.39% / 61%

Edge (Sukovatyi)-4.4pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 4 meetings

HomeRodin1wins

AwaySukovatyi3wins

Sukovatyi leads 3–1.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeRodinn = 1, below the 3 needed

AwaySukovatyi66.7%2 of 3

Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Rodin1Sukovatyi3n = 4Sukovatyi took 3 of 4

S2Rodin1Sukovatyi3n = 4Sukovatyi took 3 of 4

S3Rodin1Sukovatyi3n = 4Sukovatyi took 3 of 4

Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home125%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away125%

0–3Straight, away250%

These 4 meetings

MetricRodinSukovatyiR − SBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match32.538.0−5.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricRodinSukovatyiBasisWin rate · lifetime219 / 387 vs 310 / 58056.6%53.5%219 / 387 vs 310 / 580Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.7per match

Setka Cup · #13276762

Rodin2.38

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog50% won 45 of 90

Down 0–1, comes back19% 7 of 36

Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19

Sukovatyi1.53

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite59% won 176 of 297

Up 2–0, closes it97% 100 of 103

Up 1–0, closes it82% 140 of 170

Oleksii Rodin vs Ihor Sukovatyi 3-1 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Oleksii Rodin vs Ihor Sukovatyi 3-1 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.