TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Mykhailo Senyk vs Viktor Sydorchuk 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 8
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1113119115119––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:17 and never touched: 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Senyk to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Mykhailo Senyk @ 1.50 · Won
How it is goingMykhailo Senyk above · Viktor Sydorchuk below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 80 set 4, 11-9 · our read held Mykhailo Senyk at 66.5%
80 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Senyk 46–21 Viktor Sydorchuk Viktor Sydorchuk has won 21 of their 67 meetings.
The pick
Sealed 10:17Sent to Pro: Mykhailo Senyk @ 1.50 · Won
66.5%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444
short by 2.8pp69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)
What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Senyk
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
46-21 in 67
Senyk
Correct
gap of 25 in 67, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Senyk 753 vs Sydorchuk 641
Senyk
Correct
both rated, 112 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Senyk 100% vs Sydorchuk 40%
Senyk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Senyk 80% vs Sydorchuk 50%
Senyk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Senyk +8 · Sydorchuk +1
Senyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent when this read was sealed. The pick sent to Pro came from a re-read before the serve.
Signal confidence: 67% · Clear lean (leans Senyk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Senyk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSenyk 1.444 / Sydorchuk 2.625
Signal prob.67% / 34%
Edge (Senyk)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13276490
Senyk1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 8
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite74% won 81 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it96% 46 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it85% 60 of 71
Sydorchuk2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog34% won 51 of 152
Down 0–1, comes back11% 8 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSenyk8wins
AwaySydorchuk2wins
7 of 10 to a deciderSenyk leads 8–2, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSenyk100%6 of 6
AwaySydorchuk50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Senyk6Sydorchuk4n = 10Senyk took 6 of 10
S2Senyk4Sydorchuk6n = 10Sydorchuk took 6 of 10
S3Senyk7Sydorchuk2n = 9Senyk took 7 of 9
S4Senyk5Sydorchuk3n = 8Senyk took 5 of 8
S5Senyk5Sydorchuk2n = 7Senyk took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSenykSydorchukSenyk − SydorchukBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match45.041.0+4.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSenykSydorchukBasisWin rate · lifetime164 / 371 vs 158 / 36944.2%42.8%164 / 371 vs 158 / 369Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.536.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SenykSenyk 1.44/Sydorchuk 2.63
Hit
What we said
66.5%
Senyk · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Mykhailo Senyk @ 1.50 · Won
What happened
3–1
Senyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WOct 3 · 06:55M. Senyk4211911113V. Sydorchuk27611461
WSep 27 · 12:25M. Senyk51119911113V. Sydorchuk4791111972
WSep 22 · 07:25M. Senyk48116137113V. Sydorchuk50911111182
WSep 19 · 05:25M. Senyk48781111113V. Sydorchuk4111114872
LSep 18 · 11:55M. Senyk45111141182V. Sydorchuk49136118113
LSep 13 · 05:25M. Senyk3581111232V. Sydorchuk44116511113
WSep 5 · 09:55M. Senyk521115113123V. Sydorchuk53817711102
WSep 1 · 10:05M. Senyk331111113V. Sydorchuk207760
WAug 18 · 07:55M. Senyk517111111113V. Sydorchuk3811136352
M. Senyk10
WOct 11 · 09:35O. Bolnyh1.67561191M. Senyk2.1011115113WOct 11 · 07:35A. Lanchut5.505149101M. Senyk1.13111211123WOct 11 · 06:35M. Senyk1.4061111113M. Kornijchuk2.75113941WOct 11 · 05:35O. Kundeus3.40871181M. Senyk1.3011119113WOct 10 · 18:55M. Senyk1.331113113O. Kundeus3.2521160WOct 10 · 16:55M. Kornijchuk2.389111171M. Senyk1.5311138113WOct 10 · 14:55A. Lanchut4.509490M. Senyk1.171111113WOct 10 · 13:55M. Senyk2.6311158773O. Bolnyh1.44813111152WOct 10 · 12:55V. Sydorchuk2.2566120M. Senyk1.571111122LOct 3 · 10:55M. Senyk5.506630V. Slobodian1.131111113
V. Sydorchuk10
WOct 11 · 10:05V. Sydorchuk1.571112113M. Kornijchuk2.2571060LOct 11 · 08:05O. Kundeus1.83111110113V. Sydorchuk1.83961281WOct 11 · 06:05A. Lanchut6.507950V. Sydorchuk1.101111113LOct 11 · 05:05O. Bolnyh1.611111113V. Sydorchuk2.206670LOct 10 · 18:25V. Sydorchuk2.201310631O. Bolnyh1.61111211113WOct 10 · 16:25A. Lanchut6.009560V. Sydorchuk1.111111113LOct 10 · 15:25V. Sydorchuk1.4411116942O. Kundeus2.63661111113WOct 10 · 14:25M. Kornijchuk2.256712101V. Sydorchuk1.57111110123LOct 10 · 12:55V. Sydorchuk2.2566120M. Senyk1.571111122LOct 3 · 10:25M. Kornijchuk3.2591111113V. Sydorchuk1.33118741
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