Sergii Skhabitskiy vs Sergey Osipov 3-0

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 10Finished

Sergii Skhabitskiy

Home

1.36

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

1171191210––––

Sergey Osipov

Away

3.00

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:26 and never touched: 71.6% is still 71.6%

Graded at full time

Sergii Skhabitskiy to win

71.6%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingSergii Skhabitskiy above · Sergey Osipov below

Set 1 · 11-7

Set 2 · 11-9

Set 3 · 12-10

Point 60 set 3, 12-10 · our read held Sergii Skhabitskiy at 71.6%

60 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 08:26

71.6%Our read73.4%to break even at 1.363

short by 1.8pp

73.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.363 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.36 (69%)

Skhabitskiy

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Skhabitskiy 1346 vs Osipov 1199

Skhabitskiy

Correct

both rated, 147 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Skhabitskiy 60% vs Osipov 60%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Skhabitskiy 70% vs Osipov 70%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Skhabitskiy -1 · Osipov +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 4 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 72% · Strong (leans Skhabitskiy) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Osipov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSkhabitskiy 1.363 / Osipov 3.00

Signal prob.72% / 28%

Edge (Skhabitskiy)-1.8pp (anti-value)

Setka Cup · #13270753

Skhabitskiy1.36

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite58% won 108 of 185

Up 2–0, closes it98% 57 of 58

Up 1–0, closes it83% 82 of 99

Osipov3.00

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As underdog40% won 21 of 52

Down 0–1, comes back14% 3 of 22

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricSkhabitskiyOsipovBasisWin rate · lifetime478 / 1085 vs 132 / 27344.1%48.4%478 / 1085 vs 132 / 273Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.2per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Skhabitskiy

Skhabitskiy 1.36/Osipov 3.00

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

71.6%

Skhabitskiy · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–0

Skhabitskiy won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

S. Skhabitskiy10