TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Droshchynskyi vs Viktor Evtodiy 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811117115811411
Viktor Evtodiy
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:33 and never touched: 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeViktor Evtodiy to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Droshchynskyi above · Viktor Evtodiy below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 87 set 5, 4-11 · our read held Viktor Evtodiy at 55.8%
87 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Droshchynskyi 0–1 Viktor Evtodiy Andrii Droshchynskyi has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:3355.8%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 4.2pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Evtodiy
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Droshchynskyi 1667 vs Evtodiy 1602
Droshchynskyi
Wrong
both rated, 65 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Droshchynskyi 20% vs Evtodiy 60%
Evtodiy
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Droshchynskyi 40% vs Evtodiy 60%
Evtodiy
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Droshchynskyi -3 · Evtodiy +1
Droshchynskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Evtodiy) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Droshchynskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDroshchynskyi 2.10 / Evtodiy 1.666
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Evtodiy)-4.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13270474
Droshchynskyi2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 18 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back20% 4 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Evtodiy1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 7 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it60% 3 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeDroshchynskyi0wins
AwayEvtodiy1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderEvtodiy leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricDroshchynskyiEvtodiyD − EBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match47.050.0−3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDroshchynskyiEvtodiyBasisWin rate · lifetime147 / 254 vs 13 / 2357.9%56.5%147 / 254 vs 13 / 23Avg sets wonper match2.22.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
EvtodiyDroshchynskyi 2.10/Evtodiy 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Evtodiy · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Evtodiy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LMay 24 · 06:30A. Droshchynskyi4711971192V. Evtodiy50911118113
A. Droshchynskyi10
LOct 10 · 15:40V. Merzlikin3.75117118113A. Droshchynskyi1.2591151192LOct 10 · 13:40Y. Skorobahatyi2.201112373A. Droshchynskyi1.618101151LOct 10 · 12:40A. Droshchynskyi1.3612261192M. Tiutiunnyk3.001011116113WOct 10 · 11:40Y. Makovka4.5011590A. Droshchynskyi1.171311113LOct 8 · 17:10A. Droshchynskyi1.61811831A. Zozulia2.2011811113LOct 8 · 15:10O. Kuzyshyn1.831111113A. Droshchynskyi1.835480WOct 8 · 14:10A. Droshchynskyi1.331111113Y. Holoborodko3.254650WOct 8 · 13:10V. Merzlikin3.75911491A. Droshchynskyi1.2511311113WOct 4 · 11:30O. Varlamov3.759790A. Droshchynskyi1.251111113LOct 4 · 10:00A. Droshchynskyi1.3086111192Y. Holoborodko3.40111144113
V. Evtodiy10
WOct 10 · 16:10V. Evtodiy1.9114511123M. Tiutiunnyk1.8012117101LOct 10 · 14:10Y. Makovka1.831111102V. Evtodiy1.8356121LOct 10 · 12:10Y. Skorobahatyi1.73111110973V. Evtodiy2.0017121162WOct 10 · 11:10V. Merzlikin1.73871131V. Evtodiy2.0011114113WAug 27 · 17:40V. Evtodiy2.0041111113Y. Holoborodko1.73119591LAug 27 · 15:40O. Zhyrnov2.0091111113V. Evtodiy1.73116591LAug 27 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn1.731141011113V. Evtodiy2.0041112672LAug 27 · 12:40V. Evtodiy1.80111011572V. Merzlikin1.91912711113WAug 27 · 11:40Y. Volkov1.911169101V. Evtodiy1.8071111123WMay 24 · 11:00Y. Makovka2.20119111032V. Evtodiy1.61911812113
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