TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Tomasz Filbrandt vs Milosz Kukawka 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesOSP 2 · Czestochowa
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116611611116119
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:36 and never touched: 71.2% is still 71.2%
Graded at full timeTomasz Filbrandt to win
71.2%
71.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
88 points played in total.
Set by set
116611611116119
H2H Tomasz Filbrandt 1–0 Milosz Kukawka Milosz Kukawka has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:3671.2%Our read73.5%to break even at 1.36
short by 2.3pp73.5% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.36 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (68%)
Filbrandt
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Filbrandt 1663 vs Kukawka 1430
Filbrandt
Correct
both rated, 233 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Filbrandt 100% vs Kukawka 80%
Filbrandt
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Filbrandt 80% vs Kukawka 60%
Filbrandt
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Filbrandt +6 · Kukawka -1
Filbrandt
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% · Strong (leans Filbrandt) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kukawka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (34%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFilbrandt 1.36 / Kukawka 2.90
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Filbrandt)-2.3pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13270285
Filbrandt1.36
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 128 of 198
Up 2–0, closes it98% 50 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it78% 88 of 113
Kukawka2.90
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 49 of 104
Down 0–1, comes back30% 18 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeFilbrandt1wins
AwayKukawka0wins
Filbrandt leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricFilbrandtKukawkaF − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match35.024.0+11.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFilbrandtKukawkaBasisWin rate · lifetime630 / 1193 vs 530 / 85752.8%61.8%630 / 1193 vs 530 / 857Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
FilbrandtFilbrandt 1.36/Kukawka 2.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.2%
Filbrandt · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Filbrandt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WOct 9 · 11:00T. Filbrandt351113113M. Kukawka2471160
T. Filbrandt10
WOct 10 · 14:35T. Filbrandt1.2691111113T. Piotrowski3.50118541WOct 10 · 13:00T. Filbrandt1.251111113B. Mleczko3.653750WOct 10 · 11:45T. Filbrandt1.26111189113M. Minda3.4597111152WOct 10 · 10:05T. Filbrandt1.461111113J. Lamperski2.509860WOct 10 · 09:00T. Filbrandt1.58118911113K. Kostyk2.2521111442WOct 9 · 21:00J. Wozniak3.5089110T. Filbrandt1.281111133LOct 9 · 20:05K. Staszczyk1.73116113113T. Filbrandt2.0061131182WOct 9 · 19:15T. Filbrandt1.3311712113K. Rudomina3.258111091WOct 9 · 17:40T. Filbrandt1.61101111153M. Kolek2.201279131LOct 9 · 16:55M. Marchlewski1.8311113113T. Filbrandt1.83751191
M. Kukawka10
LOct 10 · 13:55W. Iwasyszyn2.1011611113M. Kukawka1.66411781WOct 10 · 13:30M. Kukawka1.401113113A. Szoltysek2.7521150WOct 10 · 12:15J. Przewlocki3.0061115752M. Kukawka1.351181311113WOct 10 · 11:00I. Dabrowski2.10119431M. Kukawka1.6691111113WOct 10 · 09:25J. Rolak2.05118651M. Kukawka1.6571111113WOct 9 · 14:20M. Kukawka2.2511511113B. Sulkowski1.55611761LOct 9 · 12:40B. Czerwinski1.55111112113M. Kukawka2.30291461WOct 9 · 11:50F. Krcil2.2091070M. Kukawka1.601112113LOct 9 · 11:00M. Kukawka2.3071160T. Filbrandt1.551113113LOct 9 · 09:50M. Kukawka2.207340J. Zochniak1.581111113
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